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Prediction markets for Republic First

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

3.74%chance

9431761

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4066

649

will portugal win the fifa world cup 2026

Jul 5, 3:48 AMJun 19, 11:59 PM

8.16%chance

236279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2340

92

Which Crumbles First? Manifold, or Ayatollah?

Jan 7, 8:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

305385

OptionProbability

Ayatollah

Manifold

93

7

2026 World Figure Skating Championships: Women's Gold Medal Winner

Mar 17, 7:09 AMMar 25, 11:59 AM

51796

OptionProbability

Kaori SAKAMOTO (JPN)

Ami NAKAI (JPN)

Amber GLENN (USA)

Other

Mone CHIBA (JPN)

50

23

17

6

3

Will the United Kingdom attempt to rejoin the EU and Greece demand the Elgin Marbles back to let them? [2033]

Jul 7, 3:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.15%chance

241220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1285

830

Next country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender

Dec 14, 5:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

14485

OptionProbability

Suriname

Argentina

Other

Qatar

Costa Rica

Georgia

Nigeria

Mexico

Bahamas

Kenya

Russia

Ukraine

North Korea

28

21

19

6

5

4

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

Czechia's Economist Democracy Index score

May 16, 9:56 PMJan 1, 10:42 PM

1383

OptionProbability

7.0 - 7.999

6.0 - 6.999

8.0 - 8.999

5.0 - 5.999

9.0 - 10.000

4.0 - 4.999

Below 4

28

26

26

7

7

4

3

2026 World Figure Skating Championships: Men's Gold Medal Winner

Mar 15, 2:47 AMMar 26, 11:59 AM

6334

OptionProbability

Ilia MALININ (USA)

Yuma KAGIYAMA (JPN)

Shun SATO (JPN)

Adam SIAO HIM FA (FRA)

Other

86

5

3

3

3

Who will be the next president of Czech Republic after first term of Petr Pavel?

Nov 18, 11:13 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

4322

OptionProbability

Petr Pavel

Other

Andrej Babiš

52

27

21

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.28%chance

7315

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

819

Will Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te visit Kinmen or Matsu between January 2026 and April 2028?

Jan 5, 6:42 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

50%chance

2122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the DPP run on a platform to maintain the status quo in Cross-Strait Relations?

Jan 14, 5:04 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

75.04%chance

3106

OptionVotes

NO

YES

138

63

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