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Prediction markets for Republican Congress

Outcome of the 2026 US Midterm election

Jul 4, 2:47 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

9234190

OptionProbability

Democrats control Congress

Democrats control House, Republicans control Senate

Republicans control Congress

Republicans control House, Democrats control Senate

66

25

8

1

Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?

Nov 14, 12:17 AMJan 3, 4:59 PM

97.3%chance

168417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6004

167

How many Republican Members of the 119th U.S. Congress (House and Senate) will resign in 2026?

Dec 9, 11:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

104883

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 2

Above 4

Above 6

Above 8

Above 10

Above 12

Above 14

Above 16

Above 18

100

93

51

40

31

21

12

8

8

8

Republicans win Wisconsin 7th Congressional District in 2026?

Sep 17, 9:27 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

88.53%chance

151261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

108

What conservatives will come out as LGBT in 2026? (Add Answers)

Mar 16, 5:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

171117

OptionProbability

Tim Scott

Nick Fuentes

Any Republican member of congress

Donald Trump

Lindsay Graham

13

9

3

1

1

Will 5 Republican members of Congress call for Trump to resign before the end of 2026?

Sep 2, 10:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

161001

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

33

Will a Republican congressperson be identified as a white nationalist by 2030?

Aug 3, 5:06 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

69.84%chance

12909

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1106

927

Will Trump do a good job before the 2026 midterms?

Jul 4, 2:32 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

13850

OptionProbability

Republicans control neither House nor Senate

Republicans control Senate Only

Republicans control Congress

Republicans control House Only

48

44

7

1

Outcome of the 2028 Presidential Election

Jul 4, 2:44 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

10479

OptionProbability

Democratic Trifecta

Democrat wins Presidency and not Congress

Republican wins Presidency and not Congress

Republican Trifecta

44

35

14

6

Will ANY Republican in congress vote to Impeach or Remove ANY member of the Trump Administration by EOY 2026?

Jan 20, 12:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.85%chance

17373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

Will Trump do a good job?

Jul 4, 2:36 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

7194

OptionProbability

Democrat wins Presidency and not Congress

Republican wins Presidency and not Congress

Republican Trifecta

Democratic Trifecta

43

27

19

11

Will New England have 0 Republicans in Congress (Senate + House) at end of February 2027?

Jan 26, 7:14 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

46.11%chance

453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

93

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