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Republican Congress News

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

30.11%chance

687291876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5722

3714

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

18%chance

319261494

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1626

810

Outcome of the 2026 US Midterm election

Jul 4, 2:47 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

5519770

OptionProbability

Democrats control House, Republicans control Senate

Democrats control Congress

Republicans control Congress

Republicans control House, Democrats control Senate

58

26

15

1

Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?

Nov 14, 12:17 AMJan 3, 4:59 PM

97.7%chance

157630

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6521

153

Poll says more than 50% of Republicans OK with Trump third term?

Mar 20, 7:16 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

58.65%chance

714953

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1238

790

How many Republican Members of the 119th U.S. Congress (House and Senate) will resign in 2026?

Dec 9, 11:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72512

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 2

Above 4

Above 6

Above 8

Above 10

Above 12

Above 14

Above 16

Above 18

99

82

51

40

31

21

12

8

4

3

Will 5 Republican members of Congress call for Trump to resign before the end of 2026?

Sep 2, 10:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5%chance

14924

OptionVotes

YES

NO

436

23

Will a Republican congressperson be identified as a white nationalist by 2030?

Aug 3, 5:06 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

69.84%chance

11907

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1106

927

Will Trump do a good job before the 2026 midterms?

Jul 4, 2:32 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

8686

OptionProbability

Republicans control Senate Only

Republicans control Congress

Republicans control neither House nor Senate

Republicans control House Only

57

22

20

1

Outcome of the 2028 Presidential Election

Jul 4, 2:44 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

9474

OptionProbability

Democratic Trifecta

Democrat wins Presidency and not Congress

Republican wins Presidency and not Congress

Republican Trifecta

42

37

15

6

Will Trump do a good job?

Jul 4, 2:36 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

6189

OptionProbability

Democrat wins Presidency and not Congress

Republican wins Presidency and not Congress

Republican Trifecta

Democratic Trifecta

44

28

20

7

Republican Congress speaks out against Trump in 2025?

Apr 9, 11:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.3%chance

5116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

50

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