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Prediction markets for Republican Texas

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

Jan 29, 12:35 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

39%chance

205147337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10308

10099

Who Will Win the 2026 Republican Primary Election for US Senate in Texas?

Nov 10, 12:49 AMNov 11, 5:59 AM

5632732

OptionProbability

Ken Paxton

John Cornyn

Ronny Jackson

Eric Johnson

Chip Roy

Dan Patrick

Louie Gohmert

Allen West

Dan Crenshaw

Wesley Hunt

Other

54

45

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

84.47%chance

288564

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2332

429

Will Texas elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 14 Democratic Representatives?

Feb 1, 2:51 AMNov 3, 11:59 AM

125783

OptionProbability

Non-Dem Senator, < 14 Dem Reps

Dem Senator, < 14 Dem Reps

Dem Senator, >= 14 Dem Reps

Non-Dem Senator, >= 14 Dem Reps

53

31

8

7

Will the republican party win the 2026 texas gubernatorial election?

May 31, 4:48 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

85%chance

224462

OptionVotes

NO

YES

228

67

How many Republican Representatives will Texas elect in 2026?

Jul 25, 2:50 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

103911

OptionProbability

29-30

28

27

25

26

24

19-21

22

23

31-33

0-8

9-13

14-18

34-38

24

18

17

12

11

4

3

3

3

2

1

1

1

1

Will the Republican win Texas's 2026 Senate race, conditional on D/R nominees?

Dec 8, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

153455

OptionProbability

If the nominees are Cornyn and Crockett

If the nominees are Paxton and Crockett

If the nominees are Cornyn and Talarico

If the nominees are Paxton and Talarico

87

83

62

57

Who Will Win The Republican Nomination For The Texas Senate Election

Jan 15, 2:53 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM

202010

OptionProbability

John Cornyn

Ken Paxton

Wesley Hunt

51

49

1

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.29%chance

11861

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1222

951

Will the Democrats win any statewide election in Texas by the end of 2030?

Apr 2, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.48%chance

19458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

845

Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026?

Feb 27, 8:35 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

49.4%chance

4350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

171

107

Who will be elected Texas Attorney General in 2026?

Mar 16, 2:36 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

5180

OptionProbability

Mayes Middleton

Chip Roy

Nathan Johnson

Joe Jaworski

Other

44

39

8

5

5

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