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Prediction markets for Republican Texas

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

Jan 29, 12:35 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

41.2%chance

241162468

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1543

1527

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

84%chance

2914019

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2291

436

Will the republican party win the 2026 texas gubernatorial election?

May 31, 4:48 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

89%chance

286332

OptionVotes

NO

YES

285

59

How many Republican Representatives will Texas elect in 2026?

Jul 25, 2:50 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

104607

OptionProbability

29-30

25

26

28

27

9-13

24

0-8

14-18

19-21

34-38

22

23

31-33

17

16

14

13

12

5

5

4

3

3

3

2

2

2

Will the Republican win Texas's 2026 Senate race, conditional on D/R nominees?

Dec 8, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

183516

OptionProbability

If the nominees are Cornyn and Crockett

If the nominees are Paxton and Crockett

If the nominees are Cornyn and Talarico

If the nominees are Paxton and Talarico

87

83

61

57

Who will be elected Texas Attorney General in 2026?

Mar 16, 2:36 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

101551

OptionProbability

Mayes Middleton

Nathan Johnson

Other

Chip Roy

Joe Jaworski

89

7

2

1

1

Which party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.

Jan 12, 9:24 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

101508

OptionProbability

Democrat

Republican

82

18

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17%chance

11920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

961

How many of the redrawn Texas districts will Democrats win, out of the attempted Democrat to GOP flips?

Oct 25, 12:46 AMNov 10, 11:59 PM

10742

OptionProbability

2

3

4

0

1

5

29

27

16

13

9

6

Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026?

Feb 27, 8:35 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

47.71%chance

9560

OptionVotes

NO

YES

166

111

Will the Democrats win any statewide election in Texas by the end of 2030?

Apr 2, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.48%chance

20558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

845

Will any furry convention be cancelled or moved for political reasons by the end of 2026?

Mar 15, 6:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.08%chance

10212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

66

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