OptionProbability
YES - The AI, without being prompted to, took actions to breach its sandbox, including to gain crypto and an external connection
NO - The authors are wrong/lying and there was no such hack
NO - The servers were hacked by an outside party, perhaps via prompt injection
NO - An employee (or other insider) was crypto-mining and made it look like the LLM
63
27
7
3
Vacant House seats at start of term
Market chaos
Bonus market chaos
Bonus underlying chaos
Any state misses filing deadlines for certified results
New election ordered for any seat
Majority control discrepancy in the Senate
Majority control discrepancy in the House
Any member seated who was not the winner
Any major news organization retracts a call
Vacant Senate seats at start of term
Failure to establish a quorum in first roll-call vote (either chamber)
Congress refuses to accept any certified result
Any member-elect changes parties
Multiple Speaker ballots, or failure to elect a Speaker on the first day
Senator not up for re-election changes party
Any election delayed
Any member-elect denied the oath of office
VP party change or otherwise announced change in Senate tie break
54
53
48
46
33
31
29
28
24
23
22
19
18
16
12
2
OptionVotes
YES
NO
122
82
