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Top stories

DNC Chair Pulls Gaza Resolution After Panel Vote Exposes Party Split

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

DNC Chair Pulls Gaza Resolution After Panel Vote Exposes Party Split

Authors

21

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Resolutions Committee

Tesla certifies first tranche of 2025 CEO Performance Award by June 30, 2026?

Nov 24, 8:40 PMJun 29, 11:59 PM

1%chance

816484

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9950

101

Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?

Dec 14, 1:34 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

17.84%chance

4810173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1609

816

Did Stephen Wolfram solve the second law of thermodynamics?

May 25, 12:10 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

5.74%chance

285632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4054

247

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 2:44 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

15.47%chance

535363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2338

428

Will the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?

Mar 5, 4:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.71%chance

102442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1656

604

Elon Musk financially backs campaign to remove Trump from office?

Jun 6, 3:13 PMDec 31, 4:06 PM

18.12%chance

172277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2126

470

Elon Musk called to testify before Congress by 2028?

Apr 13, 7:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.99%chance

272168

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1603

624

Will Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027?

Feb 18, 11:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.15%chance

191708

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

959

Will Dan Osborn be elected to Nebraska's US Senate seat in 2026?

Mar 3, 1:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28%chance

41099

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1070

971

What will the Fed rate be end of FY2026

Jul 22, 11:47 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

5690

OptionProbability

3 - 4.99%

1 - 2.99%

5 - 6.99%

Below 0%

0 - 0.99%

7 - 8.99%

9 - 10%

Above 10%

42

35

10

3

3

3

2

2

Will Hanoi ban gas powered bikes within Ring Roads 1 within one year?

Jul 15, 10:32 PMJul 15, 10:28 PM

49.66%chance

3661

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1007

993

Will the CCP add more members to the Central Military Commission before 2027?

Jan 27, 8:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.06%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

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