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Top stories

DNC Chair Pulls Gaza Resolution After Panel Vote Exposes Party Split

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

DNC Chair Pulls Gaza Resolution After Panel Vote Exposes Party Split

Authors

21

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Resolutions Committee

Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?

Dec 14, 1:34 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

18.29%chance

4610088

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1576

823

Did Stephen Wolfram solve the second law of thermodynamics?

May 25, 12:10 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

5.74%chance

285632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4054

247

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 2:44 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

18.79%chance

515104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2079

481

Elon Musk financially backs campaign to remove Trump from office?

Jun 6, 3:13 PMDec 31, 4:06 PM

18.12%chance

172277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2126

470

Elon Musk called to testify before Congress by 2028?

Apr 13, 7:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.99%chance

272168

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1603

624

Will Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027?

Feb 18, 11:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.25%chance

161507

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1592

1403

US recession in 2026?

Oct 9, 8:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.36%chance

251483

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

49

In what year will the next US recession begin?

Sep 12, 9:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14793

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2028

2029

2030 or later

2025

34

25

17

11

11

1

Tesla certifies first tranche of 2025 CEO Performance Award by June 30, 2026?

Nov 24, 8:40 PMJun 29, 11:59 PM

27.89%chance

4718

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1608

622

Will Hanoi ban gas powered bikes within Ring Roads 1 within one year?

Jul 15, 10:32 PMJul 15, 10:28 PM

49.66%chance

3661

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1007

993

Vivek Ramaswamy wins 2026 republican primary for governor of Ohio?

Dec 25, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.58%chance

4167

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

91

WIll the United States Economy enter a recession by 2030?

Jan 12, 2:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.38%chance

462

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144

70

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