Resolv Labs News

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Sep 1, 3:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

27.22%chance

21424581558

OptionVotes

YES

18844

4643

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.08%chance

8138437

OptionVotes

YES

27819

3071

Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?

Nov 18, 12:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.59%chance

10210820

OptionVotes

YES

3425

1696

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

31.95%chance

1428966

OptionVotes

YES

3125

2071

When will Isaac King's "Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?" market resolve?

Apr 10, 12:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

226859

OptionProbability

Before the end of 2026

Before the end of Dec 2025

Before the end of Jun 2025

Before the end of Apr 2024

Before the end of May 2024

Before the end of Jun 2024

Before the end of July 2024

Before the end of Aug 2024

Before the end of Sep 2024

Before the end of Oct 2024

Before the end of Nov 2024

Before the end of Dec 2024

When will the Covid lab leak market resolve?

Dec 25, 2:25 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

345007

OptionProbability

Conditional on resolving YES, will it resolve by the end of 2040?

Conditional on resolving YES, will it resolve by the end of 2030?

Conditional on resolving NO, will it resolve by the end of 2040?

Conditional on resolving YES, will it resolve by the end of 2026?

Conditional on resolving NO, will it resolve by the end of 2030?

Conditional on resolving YES, will it resolve by the end of 2024?

Conditional on resolving NO, will it resolve by the end of 2026?

Conditional on resolving NO, will it resolve by the end of 2024?

In what year will an AI Lab in China build Artificial General Intelligence?

Mar 25, 1:29 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

184469

OptionProbability

2025-2027

2028-2030

2031-2033

2034-2036

2037-2040

Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?

Nov 9, 2:29 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

49.22%chance

243307

OptionVotes

YES

10581

9400

If the COVID lab leak market resolves NO, will it be controversial?

Jul 28, 4:54 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

48.15%chance

252416

OptionVotes

YES

1134

616

By when will the Covid lab leak market resolve?

Jan 21, 3:30 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

162282

OptionProbability

By end of 2050

By end of 2030

By end of 2028

By end of 2025

By end of July 2024

By end of 2024

If the COVID lab leak market resolves YES, will it be controversial?

Jul 28, 4:53 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

26.23%chance

241905

OptionVotes

YES

954

902

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory, and will Isaac King's market on it be resolved correctly?

May 26, 10:26 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

140

Resolv Labs News

Prediction markets for Resolv Labs

Prediction markets for Resolv Labs

Prediction markets for Resolv Labs

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

When will Isaac King's "Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?" market resolve?

When will the Covid lab leak market resolve?

In what year will an AI Lab in China build Artificial General Intelligence?

Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?

If the COVID lab leak market resolves NO, will it be controversial?

By when will the Covid lab leak market resolve?

If the COVID lab leak market resolves YES, will it be controversial?

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory, and will Isaac King's market on it be resolved correctly?

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