OptionProbability
Nothing Ever Happens (Nothing Happens)
Direct military engagement between either G20 members, or the use of nuclear weapons
An AI kills a human without explicitly being given a task
Other (10m+ deaths)
Worldwide Pandemic
350+ million climate-displaced persons annually
US Treasury payment default or missed obligation
55
37
32
14
12
10
8
No such scapegoat will manifest
planet-killing asteroid
Other
Jesus Christ (second coming)
Rogue AGI
Me (specifically me, Jessica Evans)
previously unknown virus
invasive spores
unknown energy state
alien ghosts
telepathic dolphins
41
11
9
7
4
3
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
10078
9989
