OptionProbability
Direct military engagement between either G20 members, or the use of nuclear weapons
Nothing Ever Happens (Nothing Happens)
An AI kills a human without explicitly being given a task
350+ million climate-displaced persons annually
Other (10m+ deaths)
US Treasury payment default or missed obligation
Worldwide Pandemic
29
27
8
7
4
No such scapegoat will manifest
planet-killing asteroid
Other
Jesus Christ (second coming)
Rogue AGI
Me (specifically me, Jessica Evans)
previously unknown virus
invasive spores
unknown energy state
alien ghosts
telepathic dolphins
41
12
11
9
3
1
Hard Rock Metropolitan Park
Resorts World NYC
Ballys
MGM Empire City
Caesars Time Square
Avenir
Freedom Plaza
The Coney
99
98
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1554
643
