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Top stories

BMW Chief Sees Industry Shake-Up as Neue Klasse EVs Debut

BMW Chief Sees Industry Shake-Up as Neue Klasse EVs Debut

Authors

11

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Rest of World

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2025?

Mar 25, 1:47 PMMay 1, 9:59 PM

11.94%chance

8314208

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2073

744

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027?

Apr 8, 5:39 PMApr 15, 9:59 PM

39.45%chance

392910

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1004

978

By 2040, will there be a one-world government WITH a one-world currency?

Jan 23, 9:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.24%chance

282768

OptionVotes

YES

NO

358

28

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

Apr 1, 3:41 PMApr 8, 9:59 PM

46.29%chance

272045

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1115

832

Will Manifold help me secure 1:1 tutoring students I love working with by EOY 2025?

Dec 1, 3:21 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

23.97%chance

111852

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1781

562

Will North Korea and South Korea be unified with a formula like 'one country, two systems' by 2030?

Apr 14, 3:18 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

9.48%chance

251651

OptionVotes

NO

YES

985

787

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028?

Apr 17, 3:54 PMFeb 24, 9:59 PM

68.2%chance

231639

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1454

690

[Metaculus] Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that India's average fertility rate for 2032 & 2033 will be < 2.0?

Mar 29, 2:56 PMJan 3, 6:00 PM

93.06%chance

11758

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1568

886

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.96%chance

8548

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1334

752

Will New Zealand politics be significantly radicalised in 5 years?

Sep 11, 4:53 PMSep 11, 4:51 PM

40.51%chance

5310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1212

825

Will the West still be rich in 100 years (compared to the rest of the world)?

Jan 17, 7:38 AMJan 17, 7:38 AM

73%chance

6107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

199

152

Will GAAP and IFRS converge by the end of 2030?

Feb 21, 5:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.96%chance

331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

71

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