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Prediction markets for Rest of World
If a friendly AI takes control of humanity, which of the propositions ought it find true?
May 30, 8:38 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
2411343
OptionProbability
94
93
93
92
91
90
89
89
86
72
67
66
63
52
52
50
50
42
41
34
32
31
20
Will J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029?
Mar 5, 4:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
83.3%chance
269576
OptionVotes
223
45
OptionVotes
1051
912
OptionVotes
1121
908
By 2040, will there be a one-world government WITH a one-world currency?
Jan 23, 9:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.87%chance
282877
OptionVotes
249
40
3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
87.75%chance
171910
OptionVotes
2681
374
OptionVotes
1451
691
Will North Korea and South Korea be unified with a formula like 'one country, two systems' by 2030?
Apr 14, 3:18 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
10.55%chance
251694
OptionVotes
994
706
[Metaculus] Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that India's average fertility rate for 2032 & 2033 will be < 2.0?
Mar 29, 2:56 PMJan 3, 6:00 PM
93.06%chance
11758
OptionVotes
1568
886
Will New Zealand politics be significantly radicalised in 5 years?
Sep 11, 4:53 PMSep 11, 4:51 PM
38.57%chance
6360
OptionVotes
1262
792
Will the West still be rich in 100 years (compared to the rest of the world)?
Jan 17, 7:38 AMJan 17, 7:38 AM
73%chance
6107
OptionVotes
199
152
OptionVotes
119
71


