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Prediction markets for Retail Sales

Affordable weight loss drugs before 2030?

Sep 21, 12:02 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

72.57%chance

302098

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1664

604

SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.

Oct 9, 11:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.72%chance

191273

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1656

604

Will data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028?

May 28, 4:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65%chance

10156

OptionVotes

NO

YES

136

73

Will the July 2026 U.S. U-6 unemployment rate be at least 8.0%?

Jun 15, 11:14 AMAug 7, 12:25 PM

37.2%chance

563

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

65

Will June 2026 U.S. advance retail sales rise at least 0.5% month-over-month?

Jun 8, 1:14 PMJul 16, 12:25 PM

64.68%chance

354

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144

64

Who Hasbro buys Sanrio on 2030 only

Feb 10, 2:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.22%chance

240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

71

US Christmas holiday retail sales higher in 2026?

Jan 7, 5:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.71%chance

226

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

95

Will June 2026 U.S. capacity utilization be at least 76.5%?

Jun 12, 9:23 PMJul 17, 1:10 PM

51.38%chance

223

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

71

Will the July 2026 U.S. labor force participation rate be at least 62.0%?

Jun 15, 10:16 AMAug 7, 12:25 PM

29.03%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

96

Will August 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Jun 17, 12:16 PMSep 4, 12:25 PM

50.04%chance

14

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

Will August 2026 U.S. advance retail sales rise at least 0.5% month-over-month?

Jun 17, 9:20 AMSep 16, 12:25 PM

45%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will July 2026 U.S. advance retail sales rise at least 0.5% month-over-month?

Jun 14, 5:15 AMAug 14, 12:25 PM

45%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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