Reuters Legal News

Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?

Feb 3, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.54%chance

9739221

OptionVotes

YES

2045

1669

Regime change in Cuba by 2030?

Jan 3, 8:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.72%chance

14124712

OptionVotes

YES

1593

628

Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry

Feb 28, 12:08 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

97.16%chance

2711352

OptionVotes

YES

6226

197

Will Trump serve any time in a jail or prison by July 4th, 2029, for any past or new convictions?

Jul 27, 3:31 PMJul 5, 3:59 AM

7%chance

13513

OptionVotes

YES

364

Labour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?

Jul 21, 9:57 AMAug 28, 10:59 PM

32.89%chance

6421

OptionVotes

YES

143

Will AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?

Feb 12, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.8%chance

3300

OptionVotes

YES

1015

943

Which of the following lawsuits will prevail against OpenAI?

Dec 8, 4:01 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11238

OptionProbability

[Consumer Privacy] A.T. v. OpenAI LP (N.D. Cal. 2023)

[Copyright] Authors Guild v. OpenAI Inc. (S.D.N.Y. 2023)

[Copyright] Sancton v. OpenAI Inc. (S.D.N.Y. 2023)

[Copyright] Chabon v. OpenAI, Inc. (N.D. Cal. 2023)

[Copyright] Silverman v. OpenAI, Inc. (N.D. Cal. 2023)

[Libel] Walters v. OpenAI, L.L.C. (Ga. Super. Ct. 2023)

[Copyright] P.M. v. OpenAI LP (N.D. Cal. 2023)

Will David Thomson (Thomson Reuters chairman) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 16, 10:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.56%chance

4195

OptionVotes

YES

255

What is true about Tate brothers for 2026?

Dec 22, 8:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4107

OptionProbability

Andrew Tate will be charged for Human trafficking in Romania or UK

Andrew Tate remains in United States throughout 2026

Tristan Tate charged with human trafficking in Romania or UK

Andrew Tate faces new trial for match fixing after loosing in front of Chase Demoor

Andrew Tate convicted in UK civil trial for sexual abuse or coercive control

Andrew Tate appeals UK civil trial verdict in 2026

Andrew Tate receives prison sentence in 2026

Tristan Tate receives prison sentence in 2026

Andrew Tate flees to US

Andrew Tate returns to UK to face criminal charges in 2026

Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire before August 1, 2026?

Mar 22, 7:59 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

32.23%chance

245

OptionVotes

YES

145

Whom of his own (individuals belonging to group) will Trump get rid of related to Venezuela (during term)? (add)

Jan 4, 7:17 AMJan 20, 11:59 AM

110

OptionProbability

Combatant commanders/Joint Chiefs

Cabinet member

Reuters Legal News

Prediction markets for Reuters Legal

Prediction markets for Reuters Legal

Prediction markets for Reuters Legal

Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?

Regime change in Cuba by 2030?

Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry

Will Trump serve any time in a jail or prison by July 4th, 2029, for any past or new convictions?

Labour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?

Will AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?

Which of the following lawsuits will prevail against OpenAI?

Will David Thomson (Thomson Reuters chairman) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

What is true about Tate brothers for 2026?

Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire before August 1, 2026?

Whom of his own (individuals belonging to group) will Trump get rid of related to Venezuela (during term)? (add)

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