Reuters Legal News

Bashar and Asma al-Assad married through 2025?

Dec 24, 3:46 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

86.95%chance

152276

OptionVotes

YES

2581

387

Will a neurotech company face a lawsuit over unauthorized brain data collection in 2025?

Mar 8, 11:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.35%chance

102061

OptionVotes

YES

2943

340

Adm. Frank "Mitch" Bradley resigns by end of 2025?

Dec 2, 5:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.81%chance

61609

OptionVotes

YES

2609

383

Will China escalate it’s claim to the Spratly Islands in the South China Sea before the end of 2025?

Apr 11, 10:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.29%chance

10460

OptionVotes

YES

441

Labour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?

Jul 21, 9:57 AMAug 28, 10:59 PM

20%chance

6401

OptionVotes

YES

200

Will Trump serve any time in a jail or prison by July 4th, 2029, for any past or new convictions?

Jul 27, 3:31 PMJul 5, 3:59 AM

16.65%chance

12372

OptionVotes

YES

224

Saudi NEOM project faces pause, downsizing, or lawsuit before 2026?

Jun 7, 3:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

93.88%chance

7330

OptionVotes

YES

392

Will Paetongtarn Shinawatra be Prime Minister of Thailand on January 1st 2026?

Jun 19, 3:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.64%chance

5275

OptionVotes

YES

375

Which of the following lawsuits will prevail against OpenAI?

Dec 8, 4:01 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11238

OptionProbability

[Consumer Privacy] A.T. v. OpenAI LP (N.D. Cal. 2023)

[Copyright] Authors Guild v. OpenAI Inc. (S.D.N.Y. 2023)

[Libel] Walters v. OpenAI, L.L.C. (Ga. Super. Ct. 2023)

Will David Thomson (Thomson Reuters chairman) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 16, 10:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.56%chance

4195

OptionVotes

YES

255

Yoon sentenced to prison in 2025?

Jul 9, 7:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.01%chance

6190

OptionVotes

YES

183

Ross Ulbricht launches a legal cryptocurrency business in 2025

Jan 22, 11:55 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

57.65%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

117

Reuters Legal News

Prediction markets for Reuters Legal

Prediction markets for Reuters Legal

Prediction markets for Reuters Legal

Bashar and Asma al-Assad married through 2025?

Will a neurotech company face a lawsuit over unauthorized brain data collection in 2025?

Adm. Frank "Mitch" Bradley resigns by end of 2025?

Will China escalate it’s claim to the Spratly Islands in the South China Sea before the end of 2025?

Labour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?

Will Trump serve any time in a jail or prison by July 4th, 2029, for any past or new convictions?

Saudi NEOM project faces pause, downsizing, or lawsuit before 2026?

Will Paetongtarn Shinawatra be Prime Minister of Thailand on January 1st 2026?

Which of the following lawsuits will prevail against OpenAI?

Will David Thomson (Thomson Reuters chairman) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Yoon sentenced to prison in 2025?

Ross Ulbricht launches a legal cryptocurrency business in 2025

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