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What will OpenAI + Anthropic + xAI's combined revenue be by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 18, 4:47 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

83181248

OptionProbability

Other

$210-220B

$220-230B

$230-240B

$240-250B

$250-260B

$270-280B

$170-180B

$180-190B

$190-200B

$200-210B

$260-270B

$280-290B

$290-300B

$150-160B

$160-170B

$130-140B

$140-150B

<$40B

$60-70B

$70-80B

$80-90B

$90-100B

$100-110B

$110-120B

$120-130B

$40-50B

$50-60B

24

5

5

5

5

5

5

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

Will Revolut launch a US Dollar stablecoin in 2026? [Ṁ10k liquidity]

Jan 25, 10:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.59%chance

3431249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15425

6483

Who will the Trump administration go after?

Nov 13, 7:18 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

5522811

OptionProbability

Mainstream Media

Letitia James

LQBTQ / Trans People

Migrants

Dr. Fauci

LGBTQ+ / Transgender service members

January 6th Committee

Jack Smith

Blinken

Jimmy Kimmel

Alejandro Mayorkas

Fluoride

The Bidens

Miles Taylor

Zohran Mamdani

Jerome Powell

Bruce Springsteen

Merrick Garland

Elon Musk

Michael Cohen

Christopher Steele

Texas Democrats (as a group)

VAWA self-petitioners

Liz Cheney

Furries

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Vindman

FDIC

Rev. Budde/ Episcopal Church

Susie Wiles

Beyonce

Brad Raffensperger

Mike Pence

Black Nationals

E. Jean Carroll

Rosie O'Donnell

Jeff Bezos

Taylor Swift

Alec Baldwin

Kevin McCarthy

Karoline Leavitt

100

100

100

100

100

100

99

99

99

93

90

83

80

80

78

70

66

58

56

53

50

50

50

49

49

45

43

41

41

39

35

31

31

25

23

14

8

5

3

3

1

Will Anthropic Annual Recurring Revenue be under $90bn end of 2026?

Apr 7, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19%chance

6619755

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3945

1136

Will @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?

Dec 30, 6:37 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

4%chance

5412487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

963

955

Linus media group reviews a sex toy.

Jan 9, 4:12 AMJan 2, 4:12 AM

31.27%chance

7512194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14828

6745

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Oct 15, 10:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.64%chance

359309

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1482

677

What will be the “All Reviews” rating for The Elder Scrolls VI on Steam, 6 months after the release date?

Aug 7, 10:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

97980

OptionProbability

Very Positive

Mixed

Mostly Positive

Overwhelmingly Positive

Mostly Negative

Very Negative

Overwhelmingly Negative

26

23

21

14

9

5

2

Will a therapy that substantially slows down or reverses the aging process in humans be developed before 2040?

Mar 17, 12:49 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.12%chance

276740

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1204

814

What will be Eutass Kid's fate ?

Jul 11, 5:32 PMJul 12, 2:59 AM

515074

OptionProbability

4-JIKA COMES BACK AND BEATS SHANKS

6-Kid does his best to re enter the race to the one piece(invalid if number 3 happens)

5-Kid gives up

1-Useless Mid is dead

2-Joins another faction(BB, revs, cross guild, etc)

7-Other

3-Kid will be trained by Shanks and/or giants

83

12

2

1

1

1

0

Before 2029, will a 90 minute or longer film generated by AI produce over $100,000 in revenue?

Sep 20, 11:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56%chance

161838

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

886

What will the next USB power delivery standard be called?

Aug 2, 7:36 AMAug 3, 3:59 AM

11

OptionProbability

USB Power Delivery Rev. 3.1 (V. 1.2x2)

N/A

USB Power Delivery Rev. 3.1 (V. 1.2.1)

USB Power Delivery Rev. 3.2 (V. 2.1)

USB Power Delivery Rev. 4.0

Other

18

16

16

16

16

16

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