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Prediction markets for Revolut

Will Revolut launch a US Dollar stablecoin in 2026? [Ṁ10k liquidity]

Jan 25, 10:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.36%chance

4343060

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13822

7235

Will There be a Civil War or Violent Revolution in USA by 2030?

Oct 14, 5:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.83%chance

626437

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

920

Will the US have a revolution before 2100?

Aug 21, 11:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

294106

OptionProbability

No revolution

Fascist/Nationalist revolution

Other revolution

Communist/Socialist revolution

43

36

17

4

Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?

May 18, 10:12 PMApr 21, 5:59 AM

54%chance

424032

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

917

Will there be an “overnight” math revolution changing what we known as encryption forever by 2028

Aug 18, 9:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.11%chance

423048

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2074

735

Will there be a revolution in biotechnology within the next four years?

Dec 18, 1:23 AMMar 2, 7:59 AM

55.04%chance

322350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1227

524

Will there be a successful global socialist revolution by 2042?

Apr 17, 9:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.65%chance

161989

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1210

923

Will a socialist or communist revolution happen in a NATO country by 2030?

Nov 24, 11:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.46%chance

25988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1191

952

Will construction resume on Revolution Wind before September 2026?

Sep 20, 7:22 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

76.55%chance

6850

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1807

553

Which revolutions will Mike Duncan cover in future seasons of the Revolutions podcast?

Jan 18, 11:27 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

7640

OptionProbability

Irish Revolution

Cuban Revolution

Iranian Revolution

Spanish Civil War/Spanish Revolution

Algerian Revolution

Chinese Communist Revolution

Greek Revolution

1989 Revolutions (as a whole, similar to 1848)

Hungarian Revolution

Turkish Revolution/Young Turks

Arab Spring (as a whole, similar to 1848)

98

98

98

87

85

80

80

56

50

50

1

Will the revolution be televised?

Jul 25, 1:43 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

44.52%chance

5260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

87

Will the Full Self Driving revolution be bigger then the Smartphone revolution by at least one order of magnitude?

May 13, 12:30 AMDec 20, 4:59 AM

18.72%chance

11259

OptionVotes

YES

NO

208

48

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