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Prediction markets for Revolution

Will Revolut launch a US Dollar stablecoin in 2026? [Ṁ10k liquidity]

Jan 25, 10:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.56%chance

3025188

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11155

8965

Will There be a Civil War or Violent Revolution in USA by 2030?

Oct 14, 5:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.83%chance

626437

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

920

Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?

May 18, 10:12 PMApr 21, 5:59 AM

54%chance

424032

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

917

Will there be an “overnight” math revolution changing what we known as encryption forever by 2028

Aug 18, 9:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.11%chance

423048

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2074

735

Will there be a revolution in biotechnology within the next four years?

Dec 18, 1:23 AMMar 2, 7:59 AM

55.04%chance

322350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1227

524

Will there be a successful global socialist revolution by 2042?

Apr 17, 9:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6.9%chance

161979

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1338

913

Will a socialist or communist revolution happen in a NATO country by 2030?

Nov 24, 11:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.46%chance

25988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1191

952

Where will the "AI revolution" first take place?

Nov 6, 9:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26815

OptionProbability

United States

China

Other

United Kingdom

Singapore

India

European Union

Switzerland

Canada

South Korea

Japan

Israel

Australia

Russia

38

21

10

7

6

5

3

3

2

1

1

1

1

1

Will construction resume on Revolution Wind before September 2026?

Sep 20, 7:22 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

75.8%chance

3770

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1770

565

Which revolutions will Mike Duncan cover in future seasons of the Revolutions podcast?

Jan 18, 11:27 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

7640

OptionProbability

Irish Revolution

Cuban Revolution

Iranian Revolution

Spanish Civil War/Spanish Revolution

Algerian Revolution

Chinese Communist Revolution

Greek Revolution

1989 Revolutions (as a whole, similar to 1848)

Hungarian Revolution

Turkish Revolution/Young Turks

Arab Spring (as a whole, similar to 1848)

98

98

98

87

85

80

80

56

50

50

1

Hollywood American Revolution film box office top 10 by July 4, 2076?

Jul 30, 8:39 AMJul 4, 10:59 PM

27.2%chance

11181

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

61

Who, if anyone, will emerge as an authoritarian leader figure in the Martian Revolution or its immediate aftermath?

Jan 31, 11:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5141

OptionProbability

No authoritarian leader emerges

Axel Cartwright

Alexandra Claire

Mabel Dore

Booth Gonzalez

Other

55

9

9

9

9

9

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