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Revolutionary Guard News
Prediction markets for Revolutionary Guard
Prediction markets for Revolutionary Guard
Conditional on an attack on Iran occurring in 2026, which of Israel and America will strike first?
Jan 14, 7:11 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
6
1439
Option
Probability
America
Israel
66
34
If Khamenei is forcibly removed from power, will the Islamic regime survive?
Jan 5, 3:23 PM
Jan 1, 3:20 PM
42.2%
chance
17
540
Option
Votes
YES
NO
117
86
Will Iran officially announce a blockade/closure of the Strait of Hormuz for more than 48 consecutive hours by July 2026
Feb 2, 11:37 PM
Jun 30, 11:59 PM
23.65%
chance
6
293
Option
Votes
YES
NO
180
56
Civil War in Iran in 2026?
Jan 13, 1:35 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
20.73%
chance
6
149
Option
Votes
YES
NO
196
51
Iran’s Army joins forces with the protestors to fight against the Revolutionary Guard by Persian New Year.
Jan 26, 3:42 PM
Mar 19, 11:59 PM
10%
chance
5
131
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
Conditional on complete oil & gas sector destruction: would the iranian regime collapse within 5 years?
Jun 21, 8:56 PM
Jun 21, 8:54 PM
62.81%
chance
5
85
Option
Votes
NO
YES
130
77
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