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Who will be the richest person at the end of 2030?

Jan 2, 11:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

37676611

OptionProbability

Elon Musk

Other

Jensen Huang

Sam Altman

Jeff Bezos

Larry Ellison

Bernard Arnault

Donald Trump

Mark Zuckerberg

Satoshi Nakamoto

Vladimir Putin

Vitalik Buterin

Michael Saylor

Bill Gates

Larry Page

Warren Buffett

me

Steve Ballmer

Gautam Adani

Mukesh Ambani

An AGI

Brian Armstrong

Changpeng “CZ” Zhao

Tim Draper

Jack Dorsey

Winklevoss Tyler/Cameron

@Mira

Sergey Brin

Michael Dell

Amancio Ortega

Carlos Slim Helu

Eric Schmidt

Masayoshi Son

Dave Tepper

Ken Griffin

Eduardo Saverin

Morris Chang

36

29

14

9

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person on December 31, 2025?

Jan 22, 5:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

80.61%chance

11052040

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12017

9434

Will Rick Astley ever gonna give you up?

Jan 6, 5:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

68.21%chance

19636758

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3057

1177

Will this Richard Hanania article on trans ideology hold up?

Oct 6, 4:51 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

68.47%chance

6813447

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1559

237

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at the end of 2030?

Jan 4, 11:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.34%chance

576621

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1012

938

At what age will Richard Hanania die?

May 9, 8:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

56.83%chance

184881

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1025

972

Will Costa Rica legalize recreational marijuana by 2026?

Aug 22, 2:16 PMMay 8, 3:59 PM

9.7%chance

161889

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2485

114

Richard Lewis stock (Permanent)

Jan 8, 7:23 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

131751

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1284

931

Will the richest person in the world have a net worth over 1 Trillion USD at any point in 2030?

Feb 19, 11:51 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

35%chance

401385

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1033

874

Will Elon Musk be the richest person on the planet when he passes away?

Mar 24, 11:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.27%chance

291006

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2076

1586

Richard Yang sells out to computer science at MIT by end of April 2026?

May 10, 2:17 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

51.13%chance

9451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1428

1000

Rick and Morty: will Justin Roiland ever be an official voice actor again?

Apr 8, 9:44 PMApr 14, 9:59 PM

30.79%chance

13274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1007

951

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