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Top stories

Revel Exits NYC Ride-Hailing, Pivots to EV Charging Expansion

Revel Exits NYC Ride-Hailing, Pivots to EV Charging Expansion

Authors

10

4 days ago

Prediction markets for Rideshare

Tesla completes 20,000+ rideshare rides per week before April 2026?

May 1, 12:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.65%chance

2415399

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1241

806

Tesla completes 100,000+ rideshare rides per week before April 2026?

May 1, 12:10 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

28.16%chance

296480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1597

626

Will autonomous driving rideshares exceed human-driven rideshares by the start of 2030 (in the US)?

Oct 3, 2:17 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

57%chance

454982

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3038

945

When will a large majority of rideshare be done by self-driving cars?

Mar 14, 12:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

121198

OptionProbability

Before 2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

Other

2040-2044

2045-2049

2050-2054

2055-2059

50

35

6

3

1

1

1

1

Will a major city in Europe have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?

Jan 11, 5:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

14339

OptionVotes

YES

NO

180

158

Will New York City have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?

Jan 11, 5:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.57%chance

10319

OptionVotes

YES

NO

227

168

Will another US ridesharing company surpass Lyft before the end of 2025?

Jan 11, 2:02 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.26%chance

8141

OptionVotes

YES

NO

287

97

Will another US ridesharing company surpass Lyft before the end of 2029?

Jan 11, 2:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.79%chance

661

OptionVotes

NO

YES

152

147

Will California have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?

Jan 11, 5:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79.01%chance

453

OptionVotes

NO

YES

159

85

Will another US ridesharing company surpass Lyft before the end of 2026?

Jan 11, 2:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.61%chance

338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

143

87

Will another US ridesharing company surpass Lyft before the end of 2027?

Jan 11, 2:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.05%chance

328

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

92

Will another US ridesharing company surpass Lyft before the end of 2028?

Jan 11, 2:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.33%chance

427

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

115

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