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Prediction markets for RISE

Will Any Top-8 Economy See Its Birthrate Rise 5% from Its Lowest post-2015 Point by 2025?

Jan 2, 11:19 PMJul 31, 10:59 PM

95.99%chance

267959

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4253

123

Will the unemployment rate among CS degree-holders rise to over 30% by 2030?

Mar 22, 10:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.76%chance

593442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2172

892

Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 10 years?

Aug 8, 11:05 PMAug 9, 9:59 PM

14.62%chance

243100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1131

930

Will the percentage of top graduates in math and CS at elite universities who aspire to AI safety work rise by May 2029?

May 23, 1:22 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

77.79%chance

422533

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1871

534

Will Berkshire Hathaway stock rise on the news of Warren Buffet’s death (go up on the next /current trading day)

Jan 15, 1:27 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

21.81%chance

251285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1230

913

Will Kalafina appear in Puella Magi Madoka Magica: Walpurgisnacht Rising?

Dec 9, 7:09 PMFeb 28, 9:59 PM

35.82%chance

7960

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1338

747

Will average wages rise faster than average house prices in the UK before the next general election?

Jul 14, 11:42 AMAug 25, 10:59 PM

40.75%chance

11595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1206

829

Will the US debt-to-GDP ratio rise between 2023 and 2030

Dec 26, 4:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.23%chance

15403

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1267

915

Does the rise of AI explain the Great Silence in the Universe?

Apr 21, 11:02 PMApr 29, 3:59 AM

23.04%chance

12329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

949

Will the number of conflicts involving AI-powered autonomous weapons systems rise by at least 50% within next 10 years?

Apr 9, 9:30 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

76.15%chance

12270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1232

880

Will “Vance” rise at least 150 places in the 2025 American baby name rankings?

Nov 10, 4:38 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM

54.28%chance

7218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1090

918

Will we see the rise of a post scarcity economic summit before 2030 ?

Jun 22, 9:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

47.53%chance

4105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

952

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