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Prediction markets for RISE

Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025?

Jan 22, 7:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34%chance

2216820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14997

5858

Will the US obesity rate stop rising by 2024?

Jan 30, 9:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.16%chance

325102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1428

309

After GPT 5 is launched, will Microsoft's stock rise in the following two weeks?

Jan 26, 1:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1%chance

324558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4879

20

Will the percentage of top graduates in math and CS at elite universities who aspire to AI safety work rise by May 2029?

May 23, 1:22 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

78.35%chance

422502

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1902

526

Will Berkshire Hathaway stock rise on the news of Warren Buffet’s death (go up on the next /current trading day)

Jan 15, 1:27 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

21.81%chance

251285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1230

913

Will food prices rise by 15% or more after mass deportations?

Sep 17, 6:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.31%chance

9969

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1403

713

Will Kalafina appear in Puella Magi Madoka Magica: Walpurgisnacht Rising?

Dec 9, 7:09 PMFeb 28, 9:59 PM

50.73%chance

5607

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

985

Will average wages rise faster than average house prices in the UK before the next general election?

Jul 14, 11:42 AMAug 25, 10:59 PM

40.75%chance

11595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1206

829

Does the rise of AI explain the Great Silence in the Universe?

Apr 21, 11:02 PMApr 29, 3:59 AM

23.04%chance

12329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

949

Will the US debt-to-GDP ratio rise between 2023 and 2030

Dec 26, 4:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.79%chance

14241

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

950

Will “Vance” rise at least 150 places in the 2025 American baby name rankings?

Nov 10, 4:38 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM

51.94%chance

6168

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

962

Will we see the rise of a post scarcity economic summit before 2030 ?

Jun 22, 9:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

47.53%chance

4105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

952

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