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Risk Committee News

    Prediction markets for Risk Committee

    Epstein files prop bets (ADD YOURS)

    Nov 18, 11:15 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
    15516536

    OptionProbability

    At least one credible mainstream news source reports by EO2026 that the files are either partially redacted or partly missing or suspects the files were altered (opinion section OK)

    By EOY26 Massie claims that the files have been altered or otherwise significantly not in compliance with the bill's requirements

    However, the administration manages to blacken great parts of the files.

    After blackened papers are made public, there will be a leakage of uncensored files.

    Something happens or is enforced by Trump to divert the attraction on other things.

    A MSM news source speculates partisan bias in redactions (opinion section OK) by EOY2026

    Soon after release, the Trump DOJ launches a raft of investigations against political opponents named in the Epstein files.

    Stacey Plaskett no longer a US House Delegate before 1 Feb 2027?

    The 10 possible "co-conspirators" of Epstein are revealed

    At least five people with Wikipedia pages resign due to files

    George Stephanopoulos Leaves ABC before 4th of July 2026

    Files suggest Epstein offered to cooperation/testimony against associates within 1 year of his death.

    Somebody gets prison time

    "Bubba" photo released or leaked by EOY26

    Any congressperson gets impeached/removed in 2026 in part due to their involvement with Epstein

    Someone in the November 2025 Supreme Court is mentioned in the files

    An ongoing DOJ investigation triggered by Trump’s allegations involving Bill Clinton or others will result in the files being sealed and not publicly released despite the Epstein Transparency Act

    Any F500 company’s market cap loses 10% within a week of an executive’s involvements with Epstein becoming known

    Trump gets impeached in 2026 in part due to his involvement with Epstein

    At least 10% of current (Nov. 19, '25) House Representatives leave office (by any means) before the next congress is sworn in

    Trump admin vetoes the Nov 18 release

    100

    100

    100

    95

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    86

    59

    55

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    45

    37

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    30

    27

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    24

    24

    20

    12

    2

    0

    WIll the United States Economy enter a recession by 2030?

    Jan 12, 2:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    67.38%chance
    462

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    144

    70

    Will Guan Heng be deported from the US to China?

    Dec 15, 7:21 AMJun 30, 7:05 AM
    20%chance
    00

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    100

    100

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