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Top stories

NFL Launches ‘Rivalries’ Uniform Line for Eight Teams in 2025

NFL Launches ‘Rivalries’ Uniform Line for Eight Teams in 2025

Authors

10

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Rivalries

Will "narcissistic, orgying tech nerds" solve social ills?

Oct 8, 7:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.08%chance

9927451

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

801

Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?

Jul 23, 1:46 AMJun 1, 3:59 AM

40%chance

2810079

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

816

Will it be illegal to be openly transgender in any part of the United States by 2030?

Aug 28, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.09%chance

665575

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1008

874

Will Xi Jinping publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?

Mar 18, 11:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

11.65%chance

282743

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1840

804

Will there be serious AI safety drama at Google or Deepmind before 2026?

Mar 20, 9:53 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

10%chance

342460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2784

176

Will the United States no longer be a Democracy in the next ten years?

Nov 11, 10:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.5%chance

241972

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

696

Will Elon Musk successfully primary any incumbent Democrats in the next election?

Dec 21, 11:05 PMDec 29, 4:59 AM

48.8%chance

131785

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

986

Will Joe Biden publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?

Mar 19, 12:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

17.07%chance

191646

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1234

913

Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse get a 95% or higher on Rotten Tomatoes?

Mar 24, 4:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.1%chance

401385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1190

825

Will LBJ #5 by Robert Caro come out before 2030?

Jul 26, 3:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.02%chance

10779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

961

Will there be a Democratic Supreme Court majority before the advent of AGI?

Oct 31, 7:05 AMNov 8, 4:59 AM

31.19%chance

13361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1106

929

Will a system similar to Brilliant Pebbles be publicly known to exist in any country by 2040?

Aug 28, 6:26 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

28.79%chance

15332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

986

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