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Top stories

NFL Launches ‘Rivalries’ Uniform Line for Eight Teams in 2025

NFL Launches ‘Rivalries’ Uniform Line for Eight Teams in 2025

Authors

10

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Rivalries

Will "narcissistic, orgying tech nerds" solve social ills?

Oct 8, 7:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62%chance

10128209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1024

914

Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?

Jul 23, 1:46 AMNov 23, 4:59 AM

49.59%chance

3812124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1009

992

Will the United States no longer be a Democracy in the next ten years?

Nov 11, 10:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28%chance

292215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1085

600

Will Elon Musk successfully primary any incumbent Democrats in the next election?

Dec 21, 11:05 PMDec 29, 4:59 AM

48.8%chance

131785

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

986

Will Joe Biden publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?

Mar 19, 12:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

16.36%chance

201696

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1284

903

Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse get a 95% or higher on Rotten Tomatoes?

Mar 24, 4:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.56%chance

421535

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

884

Will LBJ #5 by Robert Caro come out before 2030?

Jul 26, 3:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.02%chance

10779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

961

Who will be the "best" trader of 2026 on Manifold?

Jan 20, 7:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9570

OptionProbability

@Jack1

Semiotic Rivalry (@SemioticRivalry)

Brad (@brod)

Other

Bayesian (@Bayesian)

Simon (@Simon74fe)

Christopher Randles (@ChristopherRandles)

@jim

@JeromeHPowell

28

14

13

13

12

8

5

5

3

Will there be a Democratic Supreme Court majority before the advent of AGI?

Oct 31, 7:05 AMNov 8, 4:59 AM

31.19%chance

13361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1106

929

Will a system similar to Brilliant Pebbles be publicly known to exist in any country by 2040?

Aug 28, 6:26 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

28.79%chance

15332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

986

Will a U.S. pro athlete come out as LGBTQ+ and explicitly cite Heated Rivalry as their inspiration before season 2 airs?

Feb 16, 12:34 AMMay 5, 10:59 PM

37%chance

4228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Springboks vs All Blacks 2026: Who will win the 4-Test Series?

Feb 25, 8:51 PMAug 21, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Springboks (South Africa) win more Tests than NZ

All Blacks (New Zealand) win more Tests than SA

Series Shared / Drawn (Wins are equal)

33

33

33

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