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Prediction markets for Rivian

Will Apple acquire Rivian by the end of 2025?

Mar 2, 2:55 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.94%chance

2325443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6921

639

Will Rivian (RIVN) worth $100B or more before end of 2025?

Mar 15, 7:49 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

1.56%chance

132338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2449

67

Will Rivian go bankrupt before 2030?

Aug 22, 7:50 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.7%chance

271667

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1351

869

In 2025, who will have the better percentage change in Vehicle Deliveries, Tesla or Rivian

Jan 17, 5:52 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

7323

OptionProbability

Tesla

Rivian

87

13

Will Rivian R2 deliveries begin before June 15, 2026?

Mar 8, 4:18 AMJul 1, 3:59 AM

41.39%chance

12298

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1066

892

What company will Amazon buy next for at least $1B?

Aug 5, 5:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11270

OptionProbability

Other

Rivian

Peloton

Cloostermans

GoPro

Nokia

Oscar Health

Wayfair

ADT

NYT

Madison Square Garden

Overstock

Nextdoor

UPS

Babylon Health

Signify Health

Gamestop

China

Apple

The Catholic Church

Wallgreens

Chili's Grill and Bar

a pile of dirty socks

49

35

10

2

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

When will Rivian break even?

Mar 9, 4:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2125

OptionProbability

By 2026

By 2028

By 2030

It will not (structural failure)

Other

74

12

5

5

5

will the three largest independent ev manufacturers in the USA still be tesla lucid and rivian at the end of 2027?

Aug 23, 9:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.77%chance

7106

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Tesla's charging network - what will the interoperability status be at the end of 2025?

Feb 8, 3:14 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

683

OptionProbability

Open to the above plus at least Hyundai

Open to Tesla, Ford, GM, Rivian, Volvo, Mercedes, Polestar

Open long enough to kneecap EvGo, Electrify America, etc and then closed again.

Other

69

17

8

6

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