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Prediction markets for RNG

In 2030, will we think FLI's 6 month pause open letter helped or harmed our AI x-risk chances?

Mar 30, 2:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12583

OptionProbability

Helped with >60% confidence

Uncertain

Helped with >80% confidence

Harmed with >80% confidence

Harmed with >60% confidence

60

20

7

7

6

this market resolves yes if over 98%, no if under 2%, for 24 consecutive hours

Jun 8, 7:00 PMDec 30, 6:56 PM

50.37%chance

17245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

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