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Prediction markets for RoC

Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?

Nov 15, 6:24 AMNov 12, 7:59 AM

5.02%chance

4264217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

34112

7133

What countries will join the UN before 2030

Apr 2, 5:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

302739

OptionProbability

Bougainville

Palestine

Kosovo

Somaliland

Greenland

ROC (Taiwan)

Chechnya (Ichkeriya, Nokhchiicho)

Sovereign State of the Bektashi Order

Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus

Transnistria

Catalonia

Siberia

Sakha (Yakutia)

Western Sahara

Scotland

41

29

27

22

17

12

12

11

10

10

9

9

9

8

8

Will Russia or ROC be allowed in the Olympics again before Nintendo ends online play and services for the Switch?

Jan 25, 3:23 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

75%chance

15707

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

969

Which country will develop the first confirmed peer reviewed room temperature ambient pressure superconductor ?

Mar 18, 3:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16358

OptionProbability

China (mainland)

USA

South Korea

Other

United Kingdom

Taiwan (ROC)

Germany

Japan

India

30

20

12

12

9

7

6

3

2

Will a bridge between Xiamen (PRC) and Kinmen (ROC) have started construction by 2035?

Jul 4, 9:13 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

20.04%chance

9210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

157

60

Will ROC (Taiwan) and Somaliland establish full diplomatic relations before 2030?

Feb 2, 2:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 PM

38%chance

6158

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

91

How many 'diplomatic allies' will ROC (Taiwan) lose in the period 2024-2027?

Jan 19, 3:23 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

3157

OptionProbability

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

20

17

12

7

7

6

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

Will Taiwan (ROC) hold legislative elections before 2028?

May 6, 5:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

6131

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Will Russia or Russian Olympic Committee (ROC) be allowed to compete in the 2028 Summer Olympics?

Jan 23, 9:24 PMOct 1, 3:59 AM

47.68%chance

1062

OptionVotes

YES

NO

255

203

Will there be one organoid/organ-on-a-chip on human organs with higher ROC-area for testing poisons than mouse studies?

Mar 28, 6:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.64%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

70

70

Will the Russian Orthodox Church stop its membership in the World Council of Churches until 2030?

Aug 30, 2:53 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

15

OptionProbability

Yes, ROC will revoke its WCC membership

Yes, ROC will be expelled from WCC

No, ROC will still be a member church

Other

33

22

22

22

Will Weng Hsiao-ling be a member of the Legislative Yuan of ROC (Taiwan) on January 1st 2029?

Dec 26, 3:26 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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