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Prediction markets for Rocket

Will the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?

Dec 18, 5:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

0.56%chance

2916816

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11790

57

Will the new Tesla Roadster have rockets providing propulsion (not extra grip) for additional acceleration?

Apr 1, 2:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

96.68%chance

3515415

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4741

123

Will Elon Musk actually ship a rocket car collaboration between SpaceX and Tesla as stated to Don Lemon by EOY 2035?

Mar 19, 3:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.92%chance

674233

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1602

581

Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?

Apr 2, 2:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.04%chance

443822

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2039

382

Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2030?

Apr 2, 2:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.71%chance

262124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1864

648

Will a Tesla car or truck transport a SpaceX rocket by the end of 2029?

Dec 12, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

18.31%chance

371949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1147

946

Will a nuclear saltwater rocket engine be tested before 2040?

Nov 12, 1:42 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

31.63%chance

14952

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1300

818

Will the Vast Haven-1 successfully reach orbit atop any SpaceX rocket, at any point in 2030?

May 10, 11:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.59%chance

15874

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1273

873

Will there be a successful orbital rocket launch from UK soil this decade? (Eric Berger prediction)

Feb 13, 7:22 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

55.73%chance

14789

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1122

891

Will someone die aboard a SpaceX rocket before the end of 2030?

Jul 30, 4:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.16%chance

23777

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1038

868

Will a Human Die in a Rocket Launch/ and or Space by 2035?

Nov 14, 3:46 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM

59.66%chance

26658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1087

830

Will SpaceX perform Falcon 9 commercial rocket launches after 2028?

Aug 17, 7:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.42%chance

10470

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1346

743

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