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Top stories

Xi Purges Fifth of PLA Generals Before Beijing Weapons Parade

Xi Purges Fifth of PLA Generals Before Beijing Weapons Parade

Authors

13

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Rocket Force

Will Hamas actually disarm in 2026?

Jan 3, 3:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.07%chance

286558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4329

231

Will New Glenn fly again in 2026?

Jun 2, 4:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2%chance

111611

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1262

40

Will Iran strike US military base at least once before December?

Oct 31, 2:22 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

56.25%chance

14989

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1134

882

Will Blue Moon be launched on Falcon Heavy ?

Jun 2, 7:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9%chance

14707

OptionVotes

YES

NO

318

31

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?

Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

17.51%chance

14316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

232

58

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2035?

Oct 24, 7:38 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

84.19%chance

7272

OptionVotes

NO

YES

205

40

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?

Oct 24, 7:34 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

45.03%chance

9206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

100

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?

Oct 24, 7:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

83.56%chance

5171

OptionVotes

NO

YES

235

57

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?

Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

19.84%chance

6154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

55

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?

Oct 24, 7:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

83.17%chance

5140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

28

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?

Oct 24, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

43.51%chance

895

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

87

Will Zhang Shengmin be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?

Jan 21, 3:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.02%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

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