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Top stories

Xi Purges Fifth of PLA Generals Before Beijing Weapons Parade

Xi Purges Fifth of PLA Generals Before Beijing Weapons Parade

Authors

13

9 days ago

Prediction markets for Rocket Force

Will Daryl Morey win an NBA title as a team executive before 2035?

Feb 10, 8:50 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

15.05%chance

9586

OptionVotes

YES

NO

600

242

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2035?

Oct 24, 7:38 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

88.77%chance

6265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

251

33

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?

Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

27.57%chance

11239

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

76

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?

Oct 24, 7:34 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

47.7%chance

8200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

113

105

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?

Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

19.84%chance

6154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

55

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?

Oct 24, 7:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

83.17%chance

5140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

28

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?

Oct 24, 7:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

78.05%chance

4129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

193

67

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2026?

Oct 24, 7:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

16.78%chance

6106

OptionVotes

YES

NO

210

72

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?

Oct 24, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

40.24%chance

790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

94

85

Will a Chinese armed forces pilot defect to Taiwan with their aircraft before 2030?

Dec 12, 2:41 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

27.08%chance

780

OptionVotes

YES

NO

239

163

Has PLA General Wang Houbin (王厚斌) been arrested?

Mar 28, 12:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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