Root News

The shooter is alive when this market hits 100 traders

20-27 years old

Has a Reddit, Xitter, or Facebook account

US citizen

Male

Will the shooter of Charlie Kirk be apprehended alive by the end of September?

The shooter killed Charlie Kirk

White

Born in the United States

Lives (or has lived) in Utah

Native English speaker (L1)

used a bolt action rifle

has at least one sibling

at least ten questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)

Is the same person the FBI identified as the “person of interest”

had fired a weapon at least once in their life before shooting Charlie Kirk

disliked Charlie Kirk

Is named Tyler Robinson

“Extremely Online” (market owner’s subjective judgment)

The shooter is a member of domain Eukarya

Resided in the same state as the incident

Firearm used was otherwise lawfully owned under federal and state law

Is a registered voter

Did it on purpose

Skinny

Gamer

wrote reference to furry culture on bullet casing

The shooter is not a extraterrestrial alien

Motivated primarily by political ideology

ectomorph body type

Had bullets with engraved messages on them

He killed Kirk to stop the spread of hatred.

Acted alone (no accomplices)

Current or former LDS Church (mainline Mormon) member

Is left wing

Owns steam profile 76561198159427286

at least a quarter of the questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)

has expressed positive sentiment towards furries

Turns themselves in to the police / FBI

Hunter

Accident please N/A

has purchased furry-related media or items

Will plead guilty

Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, or Transgender

Avowed left-leaning ideology (broadly construed: Democrat, socialist, communist, Green all count)

Unemployed

iphone user

Has/had a partner named Lance Twiggs

is/was in a sexual relationship with a transwoman

Not a virgin

Purchased and played Furry Shades of Gay on Steam

Owns a car

Lives (or has lived) in the Provo–Orem metropolitan area

legally acquired the gun used to kill Charlie Kirk

has a furaffinity account

actually has an indecipherable ideology rooted deeply within internet culture that doesn’t clearly fall on either side.

Furry

Owns physical furry paraphernalia

Communicated with peers primarily through Discord

extra charges are filed against him based on evidence discovered on his digital devices

Strongly opposes zionism

Inconsistent, incoherent, or idiosyncratic political ideology

is/was in a sexual relationship with a furry transwoman

n/a

There is anecdotal evidence that they have a KiwiFarms account

Dies in prison

Has posted on r/toiletpaperusa

has used the word yiff in written communication

Conspired with an AI chatbot about this

Purposefully waited until Kirk mentioned shootings to fire

Any published writings (including blogs, tweets, etc.) supporting the July 2024 attempted assassination of Donald Trump

Is sentenced to death

had attended any event featuring kirk prior to the one at utah valley university

Kash Patel alludes to his sexual deviancy

Has at least US$5.000 of credit card debt

was prescribed psychiatric medication

has vore kink

Anarchist (self-described; any "anarcho-" label counts)

Went to furry events

cross-dresser

Will kill again (including suicide)

Wrote a manifesto before the shooting

JD Vance alludes to his sexual deviancy

Has a Bluesky account

Elon Musk alludes to his sexual deviancy

White cis-hetero Christian man

Any published writings (including blogs, tweets, etc.) supporting Luigi Mangione

student at any university

Owns a fursuit

is/was in a sexual relationship with a furry

Posted about Charlie Kirk on social media before the shooting

Brony or a fan of My Little Pony

Radical Centrist/JREG fan

Will be convicted by EOY 2025

Has Reddit account with 10k+ karma

Former or current Charlie Kirk fan

Has ADHD

psychedelics user

at least half of the questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)

Contact with CVLT/764/similar

made online adult/sexual content (e.g. onlyfans)

There is a broad consensus that they have a KiwiFarms account

Was on an FBI watchlist

6 ft tall

Had diagnosed mental illness

Will be convicted by EOY 2026

J.K. Rowling alludes to his sexual deviancy

Transgender

Involved in Israel/Palestine activism on either side

Incel

Fan fiction author

Femboy

History of illegal drug addiction

Escapes carceral detention

Was awarded a medal or award for marksmanship at any given point in time

History of domestic violence

has significant student load debt

Owned the firearm used

Any documented connection to O9A (Order of Nine Angles, esoteric right-accelerationst group)

Shooting was motivated by gun legislation in some way

Avowed right-leaning ideology (broadly construed: Republican, MAGA, right-libertarian, neo-Nazi, monarchist all count)

Left-handed

Motivated by personal grudge rather than politics (e.g. sexual jealousy or other personal-life motive)

All questions in this market are resolved before 2026

Had felony conviction previously

Current or former Calvary Chapel or other Pentecostal church member

groyper

Is right wing

Current or previous student at University of Utah

is Mossad

Was a student at UVU

Dead, as of October 10th (or earlier)

Accelerationist (any subtype)

Wanted to create pretext for violence against leftists

Has Twitter account with more than 2000 tweets

White Nationalist

The shooter will read "If Anyone Builds It..." (either while on the run or in custody) and likes the book

Current or former Roman Catholic

Involved in Effective Altruism

Was motivated by the Trump Epstein cover up?

Has a parent who drives for Uber

decel

Will get killed by law enforcement

Was a fan of Charlie Kirk

The shooter is a professional hitman, who does not care much about politics or ideology

Age >= 40 (on the day of the shooting)

Used a handgun

Ex-military

Has a PhD

Has a Manifold account

Muslim

Veteran

History of alcoholism

A time traveller trying to avoid the worst

Will share their first name with a famous video game character

Participates in this market

Teenager

Has a master's degree

Will be apprehended at McDonald's, like Luigi Mangione.

Female Ninja Type Sniper

Is or was a computer science student

is in fact three racoons dressed in a trenchcoat

Ex law enforcement

Married

Parent

Manifold assists with his capture

Meant to hit an apple on Charlie Kirk's head

Had a wikipedia page prior to 9/10/2025

Not arrested before EOY 2025

Fled the country after the shooting

Personally knew Charlie Kirk

Enjoys diplomatic immunity

Indian national

The shooter was an AI or an android controlled by AI

Iranian national

Registered Democrat

used telekinesis to correct the bullet's trajectory

The shooter is a member of domain Bacteria

Not arrested as of midnight EST 9/14

Will be apprehended at a McDonald's

Ron Weasley is a redhead

Harry Potter is white

At least one named character from the book has their race changed

Snape is black

An actor who acted in the movies returns for the show

Harry, Ron, and Hermione’s actors will all be British

Fred and George are twins irl

Hagrid is played by an actor who is under 6'4"

Harry Potter doesn't cast a single spoken, working spell in the first episode

Dumbledore casts a spell (spoken or wordlessly)

McGonagall performs an animagus transformation (human2cat or cat2human)

A character cut from the movies appears (ie Theodore Nott)

Ron Weasley doesn't cast a single, spoken, working spell in the first two episodes

A History of Magic lesson is shown on screen

Premieres in 2027

Malfoy has white blonde hair

Quirrel is wearing a head covering when Harry first meets him

There’s a scene set before Harry is born

JK Rowling is credited as both an executive producer and original writer

The potion riddle guarding the Stone will be featured

Peeves is a reoccurring character

It's woke

Cornelius Fudge is shown on screen

Harry first sees Hogwarts castle in episode 2

A scene depicts Voldemort trying to kill baby Harry

Hagrid says "You’re a wizard, Harry"

mandrake root on screen

Arthur Weasley is shown on screen

80% or higher on rotten tomatoes

Hermione’s parent(s) shown on screen

Homosexual interaction between some characters will be presented

Arabella Figg is mentioned by first or last name

Hermione is white

Luna Lovegood, Cho Chang, or Cedric Diggory are mentioned by first or last name, or are in the credits

A house elf is shown on screen

Hagrid ties Vernon’s gun into a knot

Premieres on strongly symbolic date (like July 31, 21.12)

It will be torrentfreak.com's "Most Pirated" TV show for its year of release or the following year

Harry is shown holding more than three different wands at Ollivander’s

An actor who appeared in any of the Jackass films receives a credit on IMDB related to the show

At least one named character from the book has their gender swapped

The Quibbler is shown or mentioned

Harry visits Diagon Alley in episode 1

Goblins are still represented as anti-semitic caricatures

Harry visits Platform 9 3/4 in episode 1

It ends on a cliff hanger

The Weasley's Ford Anglia is seen flying

An Astronomy lesson is shown on screen

The intro theme song will have at least one obvious English word

The Flying Ford Anglia is seen.

Harry first sees Hogwarts castle in episode 3

Hagrid presents a cake with writing on it to Harry and the writing has no misspellings

"Voldemort" has a silent "t"

Harry only reaches Hogwarts in the last 10 minutes of the first episode

VOLDEMORT HAS A NOSE

Dobby makes an appearance

At least one of the actors is transgender

Any Harry Potter fanfic is referenced (either explicitly as judged by market creator, or confirmed by someone who works on the show)

Quirrel shakes Harry’s hand during their first meeting

90% or higher on rotten tomatoes

Premieres in 2026

Harry Potter doesn't cast a single, spoken, working spell in the first three episode

We see a wizarding school other than Hogwarts

Features an explicitly transgender character

JK Rowling makes a cameo appearance

Zendaya is cast in the show

Voldemort is a woman

Hagrid is played by an actor with a cognitive disability

Hermione is black

Hermione is Indian

Smartphone shown within Hogwarts

Awkwafina is cast in the show

Keir Starmer is in it

There will be seven CGI dwarves

set in 2025

set in the 2020s

Rita Skeeter will have an explicit trans identity

Gandalf is black

Yudkowsky makes an appearance

We get AGI before it premieres

Hagrid is black

Fred and George have the same actor

HPMOR is referenced

One or more of Hermione, Ron, and Harry have their genders swapped.

Place small ice cubes between parchment and pot instead of water

Add 1tsp of diastatic malt powder per 3cps of flour

Use tap water instead of fancy RO water

put butter into it

Toast the bread

Donate the bread to a food pantry, homeless person, or someone else in need

Add lots of butter (0.2 ml per gram)

Bake it with your best friend.

Bake for 5 more minutes

Replace all water spritz steps with a basting of extra virgin olive oil.

Diastatic malt (~1% baker's percentage) = happier yeast

Serve the bread hot

Stretch-and-fold after mixing, 3x every 30 min

Create indentation, fill with melted cheese and butter

Improve the bread

Just freeze the ready bread, then slowly bake it until it’s hot inside. It will give you a crustier crumb, contain less moisture, and taste better.

Bake for 15 more minutes

Use sourdough instead of yeast

Don't eat anything for at least 24 hours before eating the bread

Cut into the dough right before baking looks destructive to improve the appearance

Sell your bread at an auction and donate the money to those in immigration detention prisons.

3 iterations of stretch-and-fold, at any time during the 14h waiting period. Minimum wait time between iterations 1 hour

Autolyse 20 minutes

Make the bread taste good

Do it with a good spirit in your heart, or ask someone with a good spirit to do it for you. But don’t watch while they do it.

Do a second rise

Don't eat anything for at least 48 hours before eating the bread

Give Gemini your current recipe as well your take on what optimal bread tastes like, then take that advice for your next bake

Try baking a little more "bien cuit". If the image is indicative, your loaves may be quite "blonde".

Sprinkle sesame seeds evenly over the top

Short advice: Start baking at 260°C for strong rise, then reduce to 230°C and uncover halfway to achieve even browning and a crisp crust. 🍞

replace 10% of flour with farina bona

Sprinkle 3 grams of flaky sea salt on top of each loaf before the second bake

Replace some of the water with an egg (eg. remove 25g of water for a 50g egg)

Add slurs to it

Want to improve the value of your bread? Simply bake a piece of gold into it

Watch the video

Use whole wheat to improve the nutrition of the bread

Make banana bread

Start at 500F, drop to 450F and uncover half way through

Invest in a "Bakers Steel" for better heat retention and oven spring. It would mean graduating from a dutch oven though.

If your city uses artesian water, replace plastic bottled water with tap water. It will add natural, healthy alkalinity to your bread.

Bread flour, 3x yeast, cut rise to ~3h

Eat the bread while punching @realDonaldTrump in the face

Eat the bread while watching your mana balance steadily tick to (M)0

Throw the bread at a telescope

Cut bread into loaves before serving

Cut bread into ≤0.4inch slices, toast before serving

Invite your taste-testers to make the bread with you

Tarriff the bread-making process with a 10% reduction of all ingredients where actual physical money is required to purchase them, until it “shrinkflates,” but try to keep the same volume. Do not reduce any free ingredients.

Replace 10% of flour with milled wheat bran

Add garlic

Do all the changes in the top 5 open options by probability, excluding this option

Give ChatGPT your current recipe as well your take on what optimal bread tastes like, then take that advice for your next bake

Replace part of the flour in the dough with freshly crushed hemp seeds. It will make the bread a little bit sweeter, especially appealing for Canadians.

Add melatonin to the bread and eat before you sleep (do safely)

Let dough sit 48 hrs

Increase water by 50 g

While the bread is baking, tip every user who voted "Yes" on this option 25 Mana

Use a food-grade, human-approved vitamin D supplement in the correct dosage for testers with vitamin D deficiency

Use a convection oven/setting

Add 6.25±1.25 g lemon juice when mixing in water to yeast and salt jug

Put a baking rack in the Dutch oven before putting the loaf in, raising the loaf off the floor and lofting it over a layer of air.

Cover bread with damp paper towel instead of initial water spritz. Rehydrate paper towel during 2nd spritz. Remove paper towel before placing on cooling rack.

Brush on an egg wash

Make the bread great again

Bake for an amount of minutes equal to the percent this market answer is at when it comes time to begin baking. (Maintain the ±3 minute tolerances and the 2:1 ratio of time before:after the water spritz.)

Decompose it into infinite spheres, then a few parts per sphere, rotate the spheres by arccos(1/3), unite them and you will find 2 chilis (Banach-Tarski)

Ditch current process, do everything the same as the video

Bake the Manifold Crane into the Bread

Make the bread edible then throw it in

Drink vodka while eating the bread

Do FOLDED

Quit Manifold into the bread.

Kill the bread into Manifold.

Assume the chili is not in the interval [0,1], square it for more chili, if it is in (0,1), take the square root, else (equals 0 or 1) add 1 to it.

Assume the chili is in the interval (0,1), square it for less chili, if it is in (1,infinity) take the square root, if it is in (-infinity,0) take the negative of the square of the of the chile, else (equals 0 or 1) subtract 1 from it.

Don't automatically "Heat water to 30±1 °C". Instead, aim for a desired dough temperature (DDT) of 25-26°C. 30°C water is too hot for summer, and potentially too cool for winter.

Add a tablespoon of sugar

it needs more salt

Bake one more minute

Strawberry jelly filling

Add caffeine to the bread

Bake the bread into a fun shape, like a fish, or an octagon

Make naan bread, an easy-to-make bread

Grind/powderize all salt used into a fine powder (with pestle & mortar or similar device)

Cook the bread with a rod/puck of aluminum foil (or similar) in the core in an attempt to conduct heat through the center of the bread, cooking it evenly like a doughnut.

Instead of RO water, use lightly rusty water to improve the nutritional value of the bread with soluble iron.

Have someone sell the bread to you at an expensive price

Bake vegimite into it.

Only use tap water from specifically New York City

Ask yourself if bread is healthier than fruits? No need to improve my bread

Resolve at least one thing here yes or no while baking bread

Make all of the ingredients from scratch.

Wear a suit while baking the cake.

Use lemonade instead of water.

Encourage people to participate in the market in good faith while making the bread

Half yeast

Replace salt with sugar

Use flour made from an unconventional grain e.g. barley, millet, oats, rye, sorghum, maize etc.

A system view is more appropriate. This is a dynamic, multi-variate, biological and chemical system. For e.g. conditioning salt % AND yeast % AND water temperature based on ingredient and ambient temps.

Give the bread a name in a ritual ceremony and baptise it, with pre-blessed holy water if a priest isn't available

Add 1/2 cup yogurt to the bread and name the bread “gurt” while addressing it with “yo, gurt”.

Get your friends to help you make a batch ten times the size, but add a Pepper X (2.7M Scoville heat units) to the mixture

Only buy ingredients from 7/11.

Mail the bread to 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. Washington D.C.

Ship a piece of the bread to a random person.

Frost it and put sprinkles on it to make it a birthday cake.

Buy bread from a michelin star restaurant.

Replace 600+/-5g water with 600+/-50g water (eyeball rather than carefully measure)

Quadruple salt

Add 1/2 scoop whey protein powder

Bake your social security number into it.

Bake one fewer minute

Bake the cake while wearing a onesie.

Bake for 5 fewer minutes

Put a non-lethal dose of any rat poison.

Test/filter the water for heavy metals

Pray to your preferred agricultural/food deity before baking and before eating

Eat the bread in front of the White House.

Implement all options that resolved NO

Make the bread inedible then throw it out.

Throw the bread at @realDonaldTrump

Force Feed it to @realDonaldTrump

Cut the bread into the number of traders in the market slices.

make the bread bounce

Bake vodka into it

Implementing every element listed below.

Just make donuts instead

Bake it in an easy bake kids oven

Add as many Jack Daniel's whiskey barrel smoking chips as feasible to the Dutch oven before baking, physically separating them from the bread as necessary while baking.

Use a plastic baking sheet.

Eat the bread while betting yes on Cuomo on Manifold

Double oven temperature

Bake the bread very thin and add food coloring to make it have the US flag. Don’t allow it to touch the ground, illuminate at night, fold 13 times properly, and pledge allegiance before eating.

Don’t use usual water (room temperature) for the dough - that water’s only for toilets. Use electrolyte drinks instead with ice cubes; they make the dough taste better and add extra nutrition.

Add a pinch of sugar

Light it on fire with birthday candles.

Bake it with a microwave

Halve oven temperature

Eat the bread while betting yes on Mamdani on Manifold

Step on it

Bring it to Yemen and put a bomb in it

Bake America Great Again

Sacrifice a lamb

Add MAGA and a splash of Trump juice

Bake in a cat and a dog

Explode it:

5 parts cyanide/ 1 part water/ 1 part sand

say 6 7 67 times before making the bread

Take a fat dump in the dough

Sit in dough 24 hrs

Replace flour with flowers

Let dough sit 24 hrs

Mix half sodium/potassium chloride

Add 2g? of baking soda

Bake in rectangular tin

Add 50g vital wheat gluten

double yeast

halve salt

Double salt

Add 2tsp olive oil

Refrigerate dough instead of room temp wait

Do not mix salt and yeast in water together

Let dough rise on counter only until double volume or 2h max, any time longer in fridge

Think positive thoughts before tasting

Put fork in microwave

Don't eat anything for at least 12 hours before eating the bread

Add 2tbsp vanilla extract

Play classical music while baking

Bake on upside-down sheet pan, covered with Dutch oven

Eat the bread with friends

Bake it in the country you were born in.

Resolve this option YES while eating the bread

Ditch all the steps. Just buy the bread from the supermarket

Eat the bread over the course of a week.

Use 50% whole grain flour

Bake the bread with love

Use King Arthur Bread Flour instead of All-Purpose

Add sawdust to increase the volume of the bread (but only like 10% sawdust by volume max. maybe 20% if it's good sawdust)

More steam! Either spritz with more water (preferably hot) or actually pour some boiling water in just before closing the lid.

Resolve this option NO while eating the bread

Incorporate a whole grain flour (buckwheat for example)

Add 50g sugar

Add 50g honey

Swap 200ml water for milk

Make a poolish 12 h ahead: 100 g flour + 100 g water + 0.8 g yeast (0.1 %). After it ferments, use this poolish in place of 100 g flour and 100 g water in the final dough.

Add an amount of MSG equivalent to half the current salt content

Eat the bread while sending all your mana to @realDonaldTrump

Add banana

Magic: The Gathering

Cult of the Lamb

Death's Door

Shift Happens

Baba is You

Understand

The Witness

Hollow Knight

It Takes Two

Unravel Two

Portal 2

Braid

Portal

Superliminal

The Talos Principle

The Talos Principle 2

Antichamber

Perspective

Portal Reloaded

Portal Stories: Mel

Thinking with Time Machine

Cell Machine

Bokura

Hades

Hades 2

Keep Talking and Nobody Explodes

Superhot

Slay the Princess

Mind over Magnet

Escape Academy

Pico Park 2

The Room

Pico Park

Wargroove

Patrick's Parabox

Q.U.B.E. 2

Q.U.B.E.

Viewfinder

The Stanley Parable

Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A

Stardew Valley

Advance Wars

Mini Motorways

Splendor (tabletop game)

Outer Wilds

We Were Here Too

Don't Starve

Goragoa

Tokimeki Memorial

Castle Crashers

Spiritfarer

scarlet hollow

Beyond: Two Souls

Terraria

Chants of Sennaar

Patch Quest

Minecraft

Detroit: Become Human

We Were Here

Wild Woods

Manifold Garden

We Were Here Forever

Subnauticta

We Were Here Expeditions: The FriendShip

Baldur's Gate 3

What Remains of Edith Finch

Clandestine

Nobody Saves the World

Lovers in Dangerous Spacetime

Glider (1988)

Split Fiction

Rayman Legends

LittleBigPlanet 3

Trine 2

Lara Croft and the Guardian of Light

Magicka

Bean and nothingness

Space Station 13

999

Nomifactory

Monifactory

Rebirth of the Night

Induction

Akane

Zero Time Dilemma

Zero Escape: Virtue's Last Reward

Morrowind

going under: internships are heck

blue prince

Animal Well

English Country Tune

English Country Tune

Satisfactory

Silksong

Expedition 33

Quantum Conundrum

Stoneshard

Final Fantasy Tactics (original)

Final Fantasy Tactics Advanced

Final Fantasy Tactics Advanced 2

Octopath Travel

Project Triangle Strategy

Sokosoko

Physics-Breaking Boxes

Inbox Unbox

Linelith

Boxing Up Bamboo

Frog Wizard Gem Quest

The Vacuum Cleaner in the Room

Clockwork Cat

salt and sactuary

Arc Raiders

From Muddled to Clean

Path to Nowhere

Arknights

Defender's Quest: Valley of the Forgotten

Moonlighter

Human: Fall Flat

Myst

We Were Here Together

Hyperrogue

Void Stranger

PEAK

Sackboy: A Big Adventure

Yume Nikki

Unstable Unicorns 🦄

Mario Party

Exploding kittens

The House of DaVinci

Tunic

Moving Out

Moving Out

Fez

Timberborn

A Couple Of Cubes

Root (tabletop or digital version)

Children of Morta

Rainworld

Deadly Rooms of Death

CrossCode

Islands of Insight

Monopoly

SteamWorld Dig

Snakebird

Chess

Slay the Spire

Among Us

Stephen's Sausage Roll

Amazing Chicken Adventures

Wingspan

Can of Wormholes

Disco Elysium

Overcooked

Return of the Obra Dinn

Inscryption

Slice and Dice

Teardown

A person has a moral right to own a gun

We should be paying individuals to get an education instead of charging them.

GOFAI could scale past machine learning if we used social media strategically to train it.

The Fermi paradox isn't a paradox, and the solution is obviously just that intelligent life is rare.

Other

Eventually, only AI should be sovereign

Some people have genuine psychic capabilities

Hardware buttons are superior to touchscreen buttons in cars

Being a billionaire is morally wrong

The way quantum mechanics is explained to the lay public is very misleading.

It is not possible to multitask

Jeffrey Epstein killed himself (>99.9% certainty)

Reincarnation is a real phenomenon (i.e. it happens, not just a theory)

Physician-assisted suicide should be legal in most countries

Souls/spirits are real and can appear to the living sometimes

OpenAI will claim to have AGI in 3 years.

The punishment of people who do bad things is a regrettable necessity in our current society, not a positive act of justice

There is an active genocide against trans people occuring in red states and it's appalling that people don't seem to care

Climate change is significantly more concerning than AI development

Abusive parents should lose custody of their children

Tech bros are really, really annoying

Capitalism has done far more harm than good

Dialetheism (the claim that some propositions are both true and false) is itself both true and false.

Free will doesn't require the ability to do otherwise.

COVID lockdowns didn’t save many lives; in fact they may have caused net increases in global deaths and life years lost.

Factory farming is horrific but it is not wrong to eat meat.

Scientific racism is bad, actually. (also it's not scientific)

Free will does not exist. We construct narratives after the fact to soothe our belief in rationality.

Violent criminals must be kept apart only because they can’t control themselves. Punishing them further than restricting their freedom is immoral.

Music is a net negative for humanity

Trump orchestrated his own assassination attempt.

Democrats / Liberals are behind Trump’s assassination attempt.

Abortion is morally wrong

jskf's password is ***************

The first American moon landing was faked

There is no Dog

Light mode is unironically better than Dark mode for most websites

Cars should not have sound systems

AI will not be as capable as humans this century, and will certainly not give us genuine existential concerns

Pet ownership is morally wrong

LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print will replicate before 2025

SBF didn't intentionally commit fraud

It should be illegal to own a subwoofer in an apartment building

There are no valid justifications for participating in war, ever

Cascadia should be an independent country

Children should not be raised in nuclear families

The fact that 80% of Manifold's users are men is a problem that speaks to the deep-seated roots of patriarchy and exclusion in STEM

Anarcho-communism is a good idea, and hierarchy is bad

If AI exterminated the human race it might not be a bad thing

Affirmative action is necessary in modern-day America

@Mira is the pinnacle of billions of years of optimization processes: thermodynamics, evolution, learning, language. The universe was created to cause me - and only me - to come into existence. If I mess up the overseers perturb&restart it.

Pigouvian taxes are great and they should be turned up to 11 to discourage activities with negative externalities [code PROPOSITION PIG]

[PROPOSITION PIG] and this should include a frequent flyer levy

[PROPOSITION PIG] and this should include meat and dairy

We have reached the end of history. Nothing Ever Happens.

[PROPOSITION PIG] and this should include alcohol

SBF was obviously a scammer just because he's a cryptocurrency person. Rationalists were too forgiving of this just because he was giving them money.

Most young Americans would receive more benefit than harm if there were universal military conscription

The people producing fake honey (and sell it as real) are based, because they are actively working to synthesize something people want, even if they scam some people in the process.

Tarot cards are not really able to predict the future but you can learn a lot about someone by doing a reading for someone.

Mac and cheese tastes better with peanut butter mixed in

It would actually be a good thing if automation eliminated all jobs.

This market probably would have worked better as the new unlinked free response market.

We should be doing much more to pursue human genetic engineering to prevent diseases and aging.

Prolonged school closures because COVID were socially devastating.

California is wildly overrated.

The next American moon landing will be faked

Tenet (Christopher Nolan film) is underrated

We should give childlike sex robots to pedophiles

Having sex with children isn't inherently/necessarily bad

Cars are a societal net negative

Oversized pickup trucks should be illegal in cities

Suburban, single-family housing is immoral.

NO

YES

YES

NO

Change spacecraft's re-entry trajectory

Other

Partially disassemble the spacecraft

Cancel the Artemis program

YES

NO