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Prediction markets for Royal

Will Scotland leave the UK before 2030 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?

Jan 18, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

5.87%chance

8499

OptionVotes

YES

NO

530

51

Which will be the next country to renounce the British Royal Family and become a Republic?

Oct 26, 11:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8430

OptionProbability

Jamaica

Papua New Guinea

Australia

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines

Belize

Other

Antigua and Barbuda

None by market close

India

New Zealand

Canada

The Bahamas

Grenada

Saint Kitts & Nevis

Saint Lucia

Solomon Islands

Tuvalu

The United Kingdom

29

29

20

13

6

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

How many years after 2020 will the next country renounce the British Royal Family to become a Republic?

Oct 26, 11:32 PMDec 20, 4:59 PM

34.01%chance

8420

OptionProbability

YES

NO

195

161

Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?

Jan 18, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

7.53%chance

6415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

525

49

Will the UK government approve the proposed Chinese embassy at the Royal Mint before 2027?

Oct 17, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

92.76%chance

3318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

358

28

Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2029 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?

Jan 18, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

17.24%chance

8297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

408

81

Will an SSN-AUKUS submarine enter service with the Royal Australian Navy before 2045?

Apr 4, 11:19 PMJan 3, 12:30 PM

70.55%chance

476

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165

76

Will any Type 45 destroyer still be in commission in the Royal Navy in 2040?

Jan 27, 1:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

54.45%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

60

Will Jose Luis Ricon marry himself into the House of Bourbon and become part of the Spanish Royal Family?

Jul 20, 8:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.49%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

77

What will be the next fighter jet the Royal Thai Air Force purchases?

Mar 6, 2:20 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

225

OptionProbability

Saab Gripen (Sweden)

Lockheed F-16 (US)

Other

51

28

22

Will a Type 32 frigate be commissioned by the Royal Navy before 2040?

May 10, 9:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

60.59%chance

212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

62

40

Will the Royal Navy plan to commission more than six Type 83 destroyers?

May 10, 9:57 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

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