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Prediction markets for Royals

Renters' Rights Bill receives Royal Assent by August 31, 2025

Jun 19, 6:10 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

25.98%chance

23426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2274

1059

Will Scotland leave the UK before 2030 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?

Jan 18, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

5.87%chance

8499

OptionVotes

YES

NO

530

51

Will the Royal Navy launch a ship named HMS Blinky Wombat by 2028?

Jul 6, 9:50 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

4.71%chance

9410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

450

22

Which will be the next country to renounce the British Royal Family and become a Republic?

Oct 26, 11:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8374

OptionProbability

Papua New Guinea

Jamaica

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines

Australia

Belize

Other

Antigua and Barbuda

None by market close

India

New Zealand

Canada

The Bahamas

Grenada

Saint Kitts & Nevis

Saint Lucia

Solomon Islands

Tuvalu

The United Kingdom

49

22

13

6

5

3

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?

Jan 18, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

11.71%chance

6295

OptionVotes

YES

NO

405

61

Will Prince Harry be formally stripped of his royal title by the end of 2030?

Jun 15, 9:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.77%chance

385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

95

Will any Type 45 destroyer still be in commission in the Royal Navy in 2040?

Jan 27, 1:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

54.45%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

60

Will Jose Luis Ricon marry himself into the House of Bourbon and become part of the Spanish Royal Family?

Jul 20, 8:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.49%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

77

Will a Type 32 frigate be commissioned by the Royal Navy before 2040?

May 10, 9:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

60.59%chance

212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

62

40

Will the Royal Navy plan to commission more than six Type 83 destroyers?

May 10, 9:57 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

When will the first Type 26 frigate be commissioned by the Royal Navy?

Feb 10, 11:48 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

-2027

2028

2029

2030+

31

29

20

20

Will there be any living veterans of the WW2 Royal Hungarian Army left in 2031?

Jan 16, 10:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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