Rules Committee News

What year will the IMO grand challenge be completed?

Jun 25, 7:00 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

2311690

OptionProbability

2026

2027

not by 2032

2028

2029

2031

2030

2032

2025

2023

2024

Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson?

Feb 21, 10:29 PMJan 3, 7:59 AM

433073

OptionProbability

Other

Steve Scalise (current Republican Majority Leader, previous Speaker-Elect)

Jim Jordan (Previous Republican Speaker-Elect)

Mike Johnson Again (after being removed from power, then put back in power)

Elise Stefanik (Republican Conference Chairman)

Byron Donalds (Previous Speaker contender)

Tom Emmer (Republican Whip, previous Speaker-Elect)

Gary Palmer (Republican Policy Committee Chairman, Previous Speaker contender)

Patrick McHenry (Previous Republican Speaker pro tempore)

Kevin Hern (Previous Speaker contender)

Jack Bergman (Previous Speaker contender)

Austin Scott (Previous Speaker contender)

Chuck Fleischmann (Previous Speaker contender)

Mark Green (Previous Speaker contender)

Roger Williams (Previous Speaker contender)

Jodey Arrington (Previous Speaker contender)

Tom Cole (Chair of the House Rules Committee)

Donald Trump (Republican Candidate for President)

Kevin McCarthy (Previous Republican Speaker)

Will the IMO grand challenge be completed before the end of 2030?

May 19, 5:36 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

88.24%chance

182653

OptionVotes

YES

2633

503

Will Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027?

Feb 18, 11:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.64%chance

201757

OptionVotes

YES

1055

908

Will there be a VAR/refereeing controversy that causes a team to officially protest a World Cup 2026 group-stage result

Jun 16, 2:27 PMJun 28, 11:59 PM

66.48%chance

8180

OptionVotes

YES

141

If we sue our HVAC contractor for charging us travel fees when we have a warranty on labor, will we win?

May 15, 2:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81.62%chance

5146

OptionVotes

YES

211

Brazil outlaws racial identity verification panels before 2030?

Mar 19, 8:44 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

49.5%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

102

100

When will the first serious candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election enter the race?

Jun 14, 7:25 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

340

OptionProbability

Nov 4 2026 -Dec 31 2026

Sep-Nov 3rd 2026

Jan 1 2027 - March 15 2027

Jun-Aug 2026

March 16 2027 - May 31 2027

June 2027

July 2027

August 2027

September 2027

October 2027

November 2027

December 2027

Will the UK raise the minimum income requirement for family visas above £40,000 before 2027?

Jul 21, 10:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

232

OptionVotes

YES

110

Rules Committee News

Prediction markets for Rules Committee

Prediction markets for Rules Committee

Prediction markets for Rules Committee

What year will the IMO grand challenge be completed?

Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson?

Will the IMO grand challenge be completed before the end of 2030?

Will Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027?

Will there be a VAR/refereeing controversy that causes a team to officially protest a World Cup 2026 group-stage result

If we sue our HVAC contractor for charging us travel fees when we have a warranty on labor, will we win?

Brazil outlaws racial identity verification panels before 2030?

When will the first serious candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election enter the race?

Will the UK raise the minimum income requirement for family visas above £40,000 before 2027?

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