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Prediction markets for Rules Committee

What year will the IMO grand challenge be completed?

Jun 25, 7:00 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

2311690

OptionProbability

2026

2027

not by 2032

2028

2029

2031

2030

2032

2025

2023

2024

49

13

9

6

5

5

4

4

3

1

1

Will the IMO grand challenge be completed before the end of 2030?

May 19, 5:36 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

88.24%chance

182653

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2633

503

Will Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027?

Feb 18, 11:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.25%chance

161507

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1592

1403

2026 Winter Olympics: Most Gold Medals

Jan 11, 1:59 AMFeb 22, 11:59 PM

9341

OptionProbability

Norway

United States

Germany

Other

60

23

13

4

If we sue our HVAC contractor for charging us travel fees when we have a warranty on labor, will we win?

May 15, 2:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81.62%chance

5146

OptionVotes

NO

YES

211

47

Brazil outlaws racial identity verification panels before 2030?

Mar 19, 8:44 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

49.5%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

100

Will the UK raise the minimum income requirement for family visas above £40,000 before 2027?

Jul 21, 10:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

232

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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