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Prediction markets for RUN
If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?
Jan 24, 4:35 AMNov 8, 6:32 AM
32.18%chance
354169247
OptionVotes
1623
1432
OptionVotes
46158
3325
OptionVotes
45384
4988
OptionVotes
33710
1489
Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?
Feb 4, 5:35 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM
7.87%chance
1416797
OptionVotes
14892
52
Will I run a sub-45 min 10k by the end of this year?
Jan 16, 4:54 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM
12.21%chance
136262
OptionVotes
7301
556
Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.01%chance
175392
OptionVotes
9916
2845
Will an AI run a factory by the end of 2030 (start of 2031)
May 29, 5:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.73%chance
162887
OptionVotes
2083
480
Will a Manifest speaker run a direct science funding Organization by mid 2027?
Jun 9, 9:27 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
52.36%chance
22432
OptionVotes
10483
9539
Before 2028, will any prediction market find a robust way to run a market on AI extinction risk? [M$50,000 reward]
Sep 21, 6:40 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
15.85%chance
231547
OptionVotes
1201
926
If SB-1047 (or reasonably similar legislation) is run as a ballot initiative in California in 2026, will it pass?
Oct 8, 8:43 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM
71.52%chance
12682
OptionVotes
1585
631
Is The Pipe Plaza run by a frequent user of the Marioverse Discord Sever
Feb 23, 12:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
00
OptionProbability
33
33
33