Russian military News

Russia Strikes Ukrainian Missile Plants, Thwarts Sapsan Ballistic Missile System Supported by NATO and Germany

3 days ago

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?

Jan 22, 8:13 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.41%chance

13486486

OptionVotes

YES

21331

3204

If the U.S. stops sending military assistance to Ukraine, will there be a ceasefire by the end of 2025?

Aug 20, 11:16 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM

3434275

OptionProbability

The U.S. keeps supporting Ukraine and there's no ceasefire

The U.S. keeps supporting Ukraine and there's a ceasefire

The U.S. stops supporting Ukraine and there's a ceasefire

The U.S. stops supporting Ukraine and there's no ceasefire

If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?

May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM

46.78%chance

589636

OptionVotes

YES

1067

938

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Jun 10, 7:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.98%chance

376993

OptionVotes

YES

1884

531

Will the front line in Ukraine change significantly before the war ends?

Sep 15, 5:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

58.36%chance

826609

OptionVotes

YES

1175

641

Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?

Jun 11, 7:40 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

59.49%chance

465652

OptionVotes

YES

1212

825

Will the US be at war with Russia at any point until 2030?

Apr 8, 3:06 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

14.78%chance

1285354

OptionVotes

YES

1406

1387

Will any foreign military trainers in Ukraine be killed by Russian attacks?

Jun 5, 2:34 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

68.15%chance

323453

OptionVotes

YES

1463

684

Will the Russian Federation invade a NATO country before 2028?

Jan 16, 1:30 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

25.2%chance

363142

OptionVotes

YES

1139

895

Will Ukraine militarily destroy or disable ALL Russian A-50 airborne early warning and control aircraft by EOY 2025?

Feb 23, 11:24 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

6.96%chance

9548

OptionVotes

YES

535

124

If Russia secures a substantively pro-Russian ceasefire agreement with Ukraine, what will be the causes? [add responses]

Feb 22, 7:44 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

15444

OptionProbability

Western aid shortage / economic collapse in Ukraine

Black swan geopolitical events 🦢

Trump wins US elections and forces Ukraine to cede territories

Decisive Russian military victory

Ukraine runs out of soldiers - further mobilization not feasible

Collapse of Ukraine's government

Will there still be an active Russian military base in Armenia in 2026?

Sep 10, 1:21 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

83%chance

7200

OptionVotes

YES

221

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Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?

If the U.S. stops sending military assistance to Ukraine, will there be a ceasefire by the end of 2025?

If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Will the front line in Ukraine change significantly before the war ends?

Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?

Will the US be at war with Russia at any point until 2030?

Will any foreign military trainers in Ukraine be killed by Russian attacks?

Will the Russian Federation invade a NATO country before 2028?

Will Ukraine militarily destroy or disable ALL Russian A-50 airborne early warning and control aircraft by EOY 2025?

If Russia secures a substantively pro-Russian ceasefire agreement with Ukraine, what will be the causes? [add responses]

Will there still be an active Russian military base in Armenia in 2026?

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