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Prediction markets for SA

Sa Stock

Apr 10, 12:35 AM

925573619

OptionProbability

YES

NO

4298

3841

If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

Mar 11, 11:22 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

23.6%chance

20393232

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9386

6003

Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?

Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.59%chance

6055039

OptionVotes

YES

NO

41085

2434

Mo Salah completes a transfer to San Diego FC before the end of 2026

Jan 6, 9:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.32%chance

1227173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21115

4736

Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?

Sep 8, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.44%chance

10026053

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5568

1357

WIll Dr Jonathan Sackner Bernstein (Parkinson's researcher) win a major medicine/biology award by mid 2036

Jun 23, 5:05 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

9.13%chance

221550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31548

3170

Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?

Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM

2.52%chance

3213321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6849

490

If ICJ rules in favor of SA, then which nominee wins 2024 US election?

Jun 3, 6:00 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

43355

OptionProbability

Trump

Biden

20

0

Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?

Nov 9, 2:29 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

49.22%chance

243307

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10581

9400

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.28%chance

122625

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7188

4278

Will OpenAI make significant changes OR discontinue Sora due to "long-term user satisfaction," two years after launch?

Oct 1, 6:00 PMSep 30, 5:51 PM

8735

OptionProbability

OpenAI makes significant changes to Sora

OpenAI discontinues Sora

51

44

Sa stocks to the moon?

Apr 10, 4:15 AM

40

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