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Prediction markets for SA

Sa Stock

Apr 10, 12:35 AM

925573619

OptionProbability

YES

NO

4298

3841

If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

Mar 11, 11:22 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

9.02%chance

223116039

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20197

4146

Mo Salah completes a transfer to San Diego FC before the end of 2026

Jan 6, 9:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.28%chance

2186836

OptionVotes

YES

NO

65409

1529

Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?

Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.63%chance

6476090

OptionVotes

YES

NO

45370

2204

Will Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026?

Sep 20, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.91%chance

3026097

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31979

3127

WIll Dr Jonathan Sackner Bernstein (Parkinson's researcher) win a major medicine/biology award by mid 2036

Jun 23, 5:05 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

9.14%chance

421858

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31528

3172

Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?

Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM

2.17%chance

3517355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7670

470

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.57%chance

5212004

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8319

3970

If ICJ rules in favor of SA, then which nominee wins 2024 US election?

Jun 3, 6:00 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

43360

OptionProbability

Trump

Biden

20

0

Who will be the next president of SA?

Oct 27, 3:15 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

43.33%chance

426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

87

Will Saudi Aramco Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:04 PMMar 8, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 90

90 - 99

100 - 109

110 - 119

120 - 130

Above 130

17

17

17

17

17

17

Sa stocks to the moon?

Apr 10, 4:15 AM

40

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