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Prediction markets for SA

Sa Stock

Apr 10, 12:35 AM

925573619

OptionProbability

YES

NO

4298

3841

If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

Mar 11, 11:22 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

32.27%chance

21194430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7008

6913

Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?

Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.8%chance

6064289

OptionVotes

YES

NO

50335

1987

Mo Salah completes a transfer to San Diego FC before the end of 2026

Jan 6, 9:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.2%chance

1628213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21940

4558

WIll Dr Jonathan Sackner Bernstein (Parkinson's researcher) win a major medicine/biology award by mid 2036

Jun 23, 5:05 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

9.14%chance

421858

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31528

3172

Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?

Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM

3.37%chance

3514386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5497

530

Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?

Nov 9, 2:29 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

46.58%chance

263857

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11131

8894

If ICJ rules in favor of SA, then which nominee wins 2024 US election?

Jun 3, 6:00 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

43355

OptionProbability

Trump

Biden

20

0

Will OpenAI make significant changes OR discontinue Sora due to "long-term user satisfaction," two years after launch?

Oct 1, 6:00 PMSep 30, 5:51 PM

111815

OptionProbability

OpenAI makes significant changes to Sora

OpenAI discontinues Sora

51

36

La guerre va continuer ou bien sa sera enragé par USA

Mar 24, 12:11 AMMar 25, 12:09 AM

49.01%chance

12

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

Springboks vs All Blacks 2026: Who will win the 4-Test Series?

Feb 25, 8:51 PMAug 21, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Springboks (South Africa) win more Tests than NZ

All Blacks (New Zealand) win more Tests than SA

Series Shared / Drawn (Wins are equal)

33

33

33

Sa stocks to the moon?

Apr 10, 4:15 AM

40

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