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Prediction markets for SAD

[READ DESCRIPTION] Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? [Polymarket]

Nov 6, 11:25 PMAug 5, 10:59 PM

50%chance

387294729

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will anyone solve my partner's depression before 2027? [M$1,000,000 bounty]

Sep 29, 5:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.23%chance

4010368

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17681

5656

Who will be the next Mayor of London after Sadiq Khan?

Apr 3, 7:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12656

OptionProbability

Other

Laila Cunningham

Thomas Skinner

Stella Creasy

Sebastian Coe

Mete Coban

Ant Middleton

Dawn Butler

Florence Eshalomi

David Lammy

Shaun Bailey

Jeremy Corbyn

Rory Stewart

Zoe Garbett

Rosena Allin-Khan

Rushanara Ali

Susan Hall

James Corden

39

26

8

6

6

6

4

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will "I'll be sad to lose the puzzles" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Nov 25, 9:03 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

8.91%chance

2550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1550

931

Will SADR (Western Sahara) be a sovereign state before 2040?

May 29, 1:53 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

20.38%chance

5118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

49

Will Sadiq Khan be nominated as a candidate for the Labour Party leadership before 2030?

Dec 20, 11:11 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

31%chance

3106

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

Will Sadhguru announce support the BJP or the Republican Party?

Dec 27, 8:57 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

30.17%chance

360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

66

Will Sad Braders beat IMB?

Feb 2, 3:03 AMMar 1, 3:03 AM

57.8%chance

443

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

85

Who will Sadie Sink Play in Spider Man Brand New Day

Jan 29, 2:28 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

341

OptionProbability

Jean Gray

Felicia Hardy (Black Cat)

Mary Jane Watson

Spider-Woman

Other

Mayday Parker

Gwen Stacy

23

14

14

14

14

12

10

Will Ted Cruz meet Sadhguru?

Dec 27, 8:47 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

45.33%chance

331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

113

107

Does the cat look happy or sad in the image below

Jan 1, 1:34 AM

230

sadf

Apr 12, 2:36 AM

30

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