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Prediction markets for SAMA

Will Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026?

Jan 4, 5:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.24%chance

274144868

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6677

952

Will Elon Musk be worth $1T by the end of 2026?

Jan 11, 6:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.94%chance

10933606

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1490

672

Will Taylor Swift win the 2028 presidential election?

Jul 22, 1:19 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

2.74%chance

6531518

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5956

168

Humanoid robots walking down the street by EOY2035?

Jun 18, 3:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94.41%chance

94480

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5215

383

Will Lynas LAMP samarium oxide production exceed 5 tonnes Sm₂O₃ on June 30, 2026?

Mar 20, 2:44 AMJun 30, 4:00 AM

20.27%chance

31017

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1983

504

Will samarium oxide prices increase by more than 25% globally by Q2 2026?

Feb 21, 12:03 PMAug 20, 12:03 PM

50.17%chance

4558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1091

899

Will Malik Samara found or lead a company with a valuation of at least $100 million by December 31, 2026?

Jan 18, 6:31 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

1269

OptionProbability

Yes, $100M+ valuation achieved by December 31, 2026

No, $100M+ valuation not achieved by December 31, 2026

Unresolvable / Ambiguous

Other

42

36

22

1

Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on June 30, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:36 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

42.17%chance

9213

OptionVotes

NO

YES

121

18

Will a crossing between Luzon and Samar in the Philippines have started construction by 2035?

Jul 4, 11:22 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

28.03%chance

4168

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

74

Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on June 30, 2027?

Apr 8, 2:35 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

68.3%chance

248

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

95

Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on December 31, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:17 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on December 31, 2027?

Apr 8, 2:17 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

71.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

98

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