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Prediction markets for SANA

Sanae Takaichi and the LDP number of seats after Japanese election?

Jan 21, 7:50 PMFeb 10, 7:50 PM

720423

OptionProbability

196 or more seats

195 or less seats

99

1

Will Sanae Takaichi and the LDP win a majority after the Feb 8 snap election?

Jan 21, 7:34 PMFeb 7, 11:59 PM

92.16%chance

3310603

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5317

51

Sana Stock

Apr 12, 4:54 AM

113614

OptionProbability

YES

NO

588

178

What will be the next capital city to be occupied by a foreign military?

Oct 8, 12:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

471548

OptionProbability

Yemen: Sana’a

Fiji: Suva

Other

Taiwan: Taipei

Haiti: Port-au-Prince

Estonia: Tallinn

Moldova: Chișinău

Rwanda: Kigali

Ramallah

Kiev

Iran: Tehran

Armenia: Yerevan

Belarus: Minsk

Lithuania: Vilnius

Latvia: Riga

USA: Washington DC

Russia: Moscow

Ethiopia: Addis Ababa

DRC: Kinshasa

Georgia: Tbilisi

Iraq: Baghdad

Venezuela: Caracas

Afghanistan: Kabul

Myanmar: Naypyidaw

North Korea: Pyongyang

Nicaragua: Managua

Warsaw, Poland

Beirut, Lebanon

Jerusalem

Eritrea: Asmara

Syria: Damascus

Somalia: Mogadishu

South Sudan: Juba

Khartoum, Sudan

Niger: Niamey

65

6

6

5

4

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Japan February Election Market

Jan 14, 4:14 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

13671

OptionProbability

Election, LDP win majority

Election, LDP fail to win majority

No election in February

90

10

0

Jira Stock

Apr 12, 6:58 PM

2366

OptionProbability

NO

YES

189

53

Will Takaichi Sanae visit the Yasukuni Shrine while she is Prime Minister?

Oct 5, 2:29 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

34.75%chance

8337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

73

Sanae Takaichi delivers Trophy at any Grand Sumo Tournament in 2026?

Jan 9, 2:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.97%chance

7303

OptionVotes

YES

NO

301

33

How long will Sanae Takaichi be the prime minister of Japan? (She assumed office on October 21st, 2025.)

Oct 22, 3:55 AMOct 22, 2:59 PM

13295

OptionProbability

1 year

2 years

3 years

4 years

5 or more years

Less than one year

Other

33

18

17

15

9

5

4

Will the Japanese yen trade below 160 JPY/USD at the end of March 2026?

Jan 21, 8:29 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

76.14%chance

4195

OptionVotes

NO

YES

179

56

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