Saudi government News

Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?

Feb 28, 4:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

13.56%chance

4611773

OptionVotes

YES

2525

396

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?

May 18, 11:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.54%chance

121326

OptionVotes

YES

2145

543

Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?

Jan 17, 5:27 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

35.08%chance

191031

OptionVotes

YES

1101

935

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Dec 12, 2:42 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

36.46%chance

7753

OptionVotes

YES

1320

758

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

YES

1031

884

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

25.1%chance

25656

OptionVotes

YES

173

Which countries will order GCAP, the sixth generation fighter jet?

Mar 25, 8:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3455

OptionProbability

Italy

Japan

United Kingdom

Saudi Arabia

Sweden

Germany

South Korea

Australia

Canada

France

India

United Arab Emirates

Poland

Netherlands

Belgium

Norway

Finland

Singapore

Turkey

United States

Spain

Denmark

Greece

Number of countries with strict Sharia law implementation by December 31, 2030

Oct 27, 7:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8278

OptionProbability

Same # of countries as Oct 2025

Fewer countries than in Oct 2025

More countries than in Oct 2025

Other

Will Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries

Mar 4, 7:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.41%chance

5125

OptionVotes

YES

163

Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?

Jan 6, 7:42 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

687

OptionProbability

Partial - De facto separation exists but no formal international recognition by EOY 2028

No - Yemen is unified under single internationally recognized government by EOY 2028

Yes - Multiple independent states emerge (South Arabia, Houthi state, others) by EOY 2028

Will another OPEC member announce intent to leave the cartel by July 31, 2026?

Apr 29, 8:54 AMJul 31, 10:00 PM

12.19%chance

653

OptionVotes

YES

146

Will Saudi Aramco Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:04 PMMar 8, 10:59 PM

OptionProbability

Below 90

90 - 99

100 - 109

110 - 119

120 - 130

Above 130

Saudi government News

Prediction markets for Saudi government

Prediction markets for Saudi government

Prediction markets for Saudi government

Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?

Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Which countries will order GCAP, the sixth generation fighter jet?

Number of countries with strict Sharia law implementation by December 31, 2030

Will Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries

Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?

Will another OPEC member announce intent to leave the cartel by July 31, 2026?

Will Saudi Aramco Emissions end at?

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