Saudi government News

USA x Iran ceasefire by end of march 31?

Feb 28, 6:14 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

22.87%chance

27389860

OptionVotes

YES

1836

545

Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?

Feb 28, 4:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

24.21%chance

377742

OptionVotes

YES

1769

565

Will 10 or more desalination plants in the Middle East be attacked before the end of April?

Mar 24, 5:11 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

9.43%chance

151177

OptionVotes

YES

310

Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?

Jan 17, 5:27 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

31.93%chance

18981

OptionVotes

YES

1200

885

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Dec 12, 2:42 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

36.46%chance

7753

OptionVotes

YES

1320

758

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.05%chance

17344

OptionVotes

YES

156

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.28%chance

7315

OptionVotes

YES

1051

819

Number of countries with strict Sharia law implementation by December 31, 2030

Oct 27, 7:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8278

OptionProbability

Same # of countries as Oct 2025

Fewer countries than in Oct 2025

More countries than in Oct 2025

Other

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?

May 18, 11:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.81%chance

10268

OptionVotes

YES

1117

905

Will Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries

Mar 4, 7:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

4115

OptionVotes

YES

153

Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?

Jan 6, 7:42 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

687

OptionProbability

Partial - De facto separation exists but no formal international recognition by EOY 2028

No - Yemen is unified under single internationally recognized government by EOY 2028

Yes - Multiple independent states emerge (South Arabia, Houthi state, others) by EOY 2028

Will Saudi Aramco Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:04 PMMar 8, 10:59 PM

OptionProbability

Below 90

90 - 99

100 - 109

110 - 119

120 - 130

Above 130

Saudi government News

Prediction markets for Saudi government

Prediction markets for Saudi government

Prediction markets for Saudi government

USA x Iran ceasefire by end of march 31?

Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?

Will 10 or more desalination plants in the Middle East be attacked before the end of April?

Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Number of countries with strict Sharia law implementation by December 31, 2030

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?

Will Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries

Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?

Will Saudi Aramco Emissions end at?

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