Saudi government News

Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?

Feb 28, 4:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

71.21%chance

7016559

OptionVotes

YES

1573

636

Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

69.23%chance

121555

OptionVotes

YES

155

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?

May 18, 11:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.45%chance

131334

OptionVotes

YES

2153

542

Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?

Jan 17, 5:27 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

35.08%chance

191031

OptionVotes

YES

1101

935

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

10.48%chance

28869

OptionVotes

YES

292

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.21%chance

14835

OptionVotes

YES

1015

943

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Dec 12, 2:42 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

36.46%chance

7753

OptionVotes

YES

1320

758

Which countries will order GCAP, the sixth generation fighter jet?

Mar 25, 8:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3455

OptionProbability

Italy

Japan

United Kingdom

Saudi Arabia

Sweden

Germany

South Korea

Australia

Canada

France

India

United Arab Emirates

Poland

Netherlands

Belgium

Norway

Finland

Singapore

Turkey

United States

Spain

Denmark

Greece

Number of countries with strict Sharia law implementation by December 31, 2030

Oct 27, 7:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8424

OptionProbability

Same # of countries as Oct 2025

Fewer countries than in Oct 2025

More countries than in Oct 2025

Other

Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?

Jan 6, 7:42 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

7151

OptionProbability

Partial - De facto separation exists but no formal international recognition by EOY 2028

No - Yemen is unified under single internationally recognized government by EOY 2028

Yes - Multiple independent states emerge (South Arabia, Houthi state, others) by EOY 2028

Will the U.S. publish the text of its Saudi nuclear agreement by December 31?

Aug 26, 4:03 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

30.31%chance

345

OptionVotes

YES

129

Will Saudi Aramco Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:04 PMMar 8, 10:59 PM

OptionProbability

Below 90

90 - 99

100 - 109

110 - 119

120 - 130

Above 130

Saudi government News

Prediction markets for Saudi government

Prediction markets for Saudi government

Prediction markets for Saudi government

Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?

Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?

Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Which countries will order GCAP, the sixth generation fighter jet?

Number of countries with strict Sharia law implementation by December 31, 2030

Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?

Will the U.S. publish the text of its Saudi nuclear agreement by December 31?

Will Saudi Aramco Emissions end at?

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