Saudi government News

Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?

Jan 17, 5:27 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

31.93%chance

18981

OptionVotes

YES

1200

885

Will U.S. weapons strike targets inside Iran by March 31, 2026?

Feb 1, 8:55 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

49%chance

25964

OptionVotes

YES

102

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Dec 12, 2:42 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

36.46%chance

7753

OptionVotes

YES

1320

758

Which countries will order GCAP, the sixth generation fighter jet?

Mar 25, 8:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3455

OptionProbability

Italy

Japan

United Kingdom

Saudi Arabia

Sweden

Germany

South Korea

Australia

Canada

France

India

United Arab Emirates

Poland

Netherlands

Belgium

Norway

Finland

Singapore

Turkey

United States

Spain

Denmark

Greece

Will US strike Iran by end of 2027?

Feb 4, 6:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.18%chance

9316

OptionVotes

YES

140

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?

May 18, 11:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.81%chance

10268

OptionVotes

YES

1117

905

Number of countries with strict Sharia law implementation by December 31, 2030

Oct 27, 7:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5254

OptionProbability

Same # of countries as Oct 2025

Fewer countries than in Oct 2025

More countries than in Oct 2025

Other

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

20.73%chance

6149

OptionVotes

YES

196

Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?

Jan 6, 7:42 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

677

OptionProbability

Partial - De facto separation exists but no formal international recognition by EOY 2028

No - Yemen is unified under single internationally recognized government by EOY 2028

Yes - Multiple independent states emerge (South Arabia, Houthi state, others) by EOY 2028

Saudi government News

Prediction markets for Saudi government

Prediction markets for Saudi government

Prediction markets for Saudi government

Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?

Will U.S. weapons strike targets inside Iran by March 31, 2026?

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Which countries will order GCAP, the sixth generation fighter jet?

Will US strike Iran by end of 2027?

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?

Number of countries with strict Sharia law implementation by December 31, 2030

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?

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