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Prediction markets for SAVE

Will the SAVE Act be enacted before the 2026 US elections

Jan 21, 8:19 PMNov 3, 12:00 AM

9.58%chance

1212102

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3072

325

Will the US change to and retain permanent Daylight Savings Time before 2030?

Oct 30, 6:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.63%chance

202143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1327

768

Will the EU abolish daylight saving time by 2027?

Mar 6, 1:10 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

15.1%chance

221430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2051

665

Will 401(k) savings be useless in 2060?

Dec 23, 8:00 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

33.18%chance

12947

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1419

705

When will another US state get rid of daylight saving?

Mar 9, 10:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6729

OptionProbability

Other

2027

2028

2026

2024

2025

73

10

10

6

1

1

Will the "Local Taxpayer Protection Act to Save Proposition 13" pass

Apr 25, 3:46 AMNov 4, 11:59 PM

19.06%chance

3526

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1521

836

Dec 1 2023 to Nov 30 2026, will a UK strike price of £65 (2012 prices) for offshore wind save consumers money?

Nov 4, 2:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

44.54%chance

9462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

1087

Will someone/ LLM write a fanfic of Jose Luis Ricon romancing with janus/repligate and saving the world together by 2029

Jun 11, 5:16 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

2139

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will "The World Keeps Getting Saved and You Don’t N..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Feb 17, 4:29 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

15.79%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

885

Will a fanfic of repligate, gwern, JDP, Sonia Joseph,andgaspode going thru Hogwarts together +saving the world by 2028

Jun 11, 5:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

If there is a war with China, will the inflation adjusted value of 'my' savings decline by more than 50% after 5 years?

Sep 6, 6:13 AMJan 14, 4:59 AM

44.86%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

74

66

Will someone/LLM write fanfic of gwern saving janus/repligate in castle, falling in love, and saving the world by 2029?

Jun 11, 7:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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