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Prediction markets for SAVE

Will the SAVE Act be enacted before the 2026 US elections

Jan 21, 8:19 PMNov 3, 12:00 AM

10.72%chance

1011921

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2885

347

Will the US change to and retain permanent Daylight Savings Time before 2030?

Oct 30, 6:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

42.01%chance

181933

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1127

892

Will the EU abolish daylight saving time by 2027?

Mar 6, 1:10 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

16.17%chance

211325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1946

685

Will 401(k) savings be useless in 2060?

Dec 23, 8:00 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

33.18%chance

12947

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1419

705

When will another US state get rid of daylight saving?

Mar 9, 10:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6729

OptionProbability

Other

2027

2028

2026

2024

2025

73

10

10

6

1

1

💾 Will the "Save" icon still be a floppy disk by 2100?

Sep 21, 9:08 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.91%chance

22684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

141

If Trump wins, will we have permanent Daylight Savings Time?

Mar 10, 8:21 AMNov 3, 7:59 AM

23.02%chance

13505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

425

60

Dec 1 2023 to Nov 30 2026, will a UK strike price of £65 (2012 prices) for offshore wind save consumers money?

Nov 4, 2:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

44.54%chance

9462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

1087

When will the EU abolish daylight saving time?

Oct 3, 8:18 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

11427

OptionProbability

2029 or later

2026

2028

2027

2025

2024

43

24

19

11

3

1

Will "The World Keeps Getting Saved and You Don’t N..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Feb 17, 4:29 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

15.79%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

885

If there is a war with China, will the inflation adjusted value of 'my' savings decline by more than 50% after 5 years?

Sep 6, 6:13 AMJan 14, 4:59 AM

44.86%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

74

66

Will a magical manic pixie dream girl arrive to save qiaochu yuan by 2029?

Oct 5, 11:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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