Scenario News

NO

Other

NATO versus ( Russia + China )

( NATO + Russia ) versus China

#4 – “Off the Charts”

#3 – “Stalemate”

#1 – “Conservative Golden Age”

#2 – “The New Liberal Era is Still Alive, Baby!”

3) Attorney General is removed, sidelined, or resigns

1) Prolonged limbo via security delays

4) Major charges dropped via plea/deal

2) Immunity law passed

6) The trial runs its course and he is convicted

7) The trial runs its course and he is fully acquitted

YES

No staking ratio target is live on mainnet before 2026-01-01

Any scenario

Other

Libya

Central African Republic

Niger

Cameroon

Other

South Sudan

Eritrea

Djibouti

Somalia

YES

Allied Coordination by 2030: There is allied coordination between key countries in the AI hardware supply chain on HEM development and/or deployment by 2030, targeting hardware security for either tamper-evident or tamper-proof HEMs.

Commercially Available HEMs by 2030: Fully tamper-evident or tamper-proof AI hardware becomes commercially available before 2030

Location Verification for US Export Controls by 2028: The US enacts location verification requirements for exported chips before 2028 (enforcement may not begin until afterward)

US-China Treaty Verification by 2030: Both the US and China sign an AI development treaty (potentially non-binding) involving HEMs by 2030

Eritrea

Somalia

Kenya

Democratic Republic of Congo

Republic of Congo