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Top stories

UK Students Collect GCSE Results as Officials Eye Post-Covid Stabilisation

UK Students Collect GCSE Results as Officials Eye Post-Covid Stabilisation

Authors

7

1 year ago

Prediction markets for School Standards

Will the University of California consider SAT or ACT scores in admissions by the end of 2026?

Dec 16, 3:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.88%chance

92804

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1692

591

Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the MCAT without cheating before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:37 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

86.64%chance

16674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1123

959

Will Maria Machado get nothing in exchange for her Nobel prize? (in 2026)

Jan 17, 7:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12420

OptionProbability

Gets nothing

Gets something

90

10

Will the majority of US high school standardized tests be administered and graded by AI systems by 2030?

Jun 29, 5:42 AMJan 7, 5:59 AM

39.06%chance

8320

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1249

801

Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the MCAT without cheating before 2030?

Jun 1, 6:37 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

69.86%chance

499

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

88

US-China Track 1 AI dialogue commits to shared AI safety benchmark by '27?

Apr 14, 6:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

How should I plan what college to attend? (Current high schooler, 100M+ bounty)

Jan 4, 6:53 AM

00

I'll fund creation of markets (questions) for users with under M$2000 net worth!

Aug 3, 4:32 PMAug 4, 6:59 AM

00

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