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Prediction markets for SCI

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

20%chance

796429324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

34777

14340

Which 2025 sci-fi anime TV show will have the highest score on AniList?

Sep 9, 4:18 PMFeb 1, 6:59 AM

32400

OptionProbability

Other

DAN DA DAN Season 2

Lazarus

Kaiju No.8 SEASON 2

Dr. STONE SCIENCE FUTURE

Fire Force Season 3

GO! GO! Loser Ranger! 2nd Season

24

23

17

16

14

3

2

On June 1st 2027 will Sci-Hub be working again?

May 2, 6:50 PMJun 2, 5:59 AM

60.59%chance

272338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1138

639

Will Alexandra Elbakyan (creator of Sci-Hub) ever receive a Nobel Prize?

Dec 11, 12:41 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

8.89%chance

271091

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1057

970

Will Alexandra Elbakyan (Founder of Sci-Hub) enter the US or US Territory before 2043?

May 2, 6:52 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

30%chance

548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

94

I loved station 11 so much. The series and podcast equally great. Anyone else? Is that Sci fi?

Nov 4, 12:34 PM

00

Should we create the Torment Nexus from the classic sci-fi novel, "Don't Create the Torment Nexus"?

May 15, 9:26 PM

80

Check out There Will Come Soft Rains, a short sci-fi story by Ray Bradbury.

Aug 18, 7:14 AMAug 19, 3:59 AM

00

Recommend me religious sci-fi/fantasy novels! 500 mana for a book I really enjoy and haven’t read before

Aug 25, 4:52 AMAug 26, 3:59 AM

00

Recommend a good book club book for me. Ideally under 15 hours, and sci-fi

Oct 16, 2:15 AM

00

Recommend me good sci-fi tv shows

Mar 4, 9:49 AM

00

Recommed me sci-fi books, M50 for each good submission.

Aug 1, 7:49 AMAug 1, 9:59 PM

00

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