SCO News

China’s $1.2 Trillion Trade Surplus and $512.4 Billion SCO Trade Highlight 14th Five-Year Plan Progress

8 months ago

Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit 2025 Held Aug 31-Sept 1 in Tianjin With Leaders From 20+ Countries and 10 Intl Organizations

8 months ago

Perfect score achieved by an AI model in the International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2026?

Jul 19, 2:29 PMJul 31, 10:59 PM

57.35%chance

265151314

OptionVotes

YES

11662

6844

Scott Alexander publishes a "Death with Dignity" style post before 2030

Nov 20, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.75%chance

10842699

OptionVotes

YES

11769

8879

Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander?

Feb 14, 5:26 PMFeb 14, 5:23 PM

63.7%chance

18840932

OptionVotes

YES

1325

755

If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?

Mar 10, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

58.65%chance

12234550

OptionVotes

YES

8015

5050

Open-Source AI model gets perfect IMO 2026 score? [International Math Olympiad 2026]

Jul 19, 2:27 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

44%chance

7429741

OptionVotes

YES

11639

8508

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

Apr 1, 2:29 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81.03%chance

9525701

OptionVotes

YES

2522

563

Will SCOTUS rule that 14A doesn't grant citizenship to US-born children of undocumented immigrant parents by 2030?

Jan 28, 11:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.25%chance

2716588

OptionVotes

YES

17839

6551

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

20%chance

3814920

OptionVotes

YES

18124

6187

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass?

Jan 30, 2:53 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7910194

OptionProbability

Futurama: AI tech produces great advances but our civilization recognizably continues

Singularia: AI is autonomous and acts as "benevolent gods"

AI-Dystopia: AI tech produces great harm but our civilization recognizably continues

AI-Fizzle: AI tech doesn't have a huge impact

Paperclipalypse: AI causes our extinction or similar

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass? (Metaculus forecast, 2027-12-31)

Dec 30, 4:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86183

OptionProbability

Futurama: AI tech produces great advances but our civilization recognizably continues

AI-Dystopia: AI tech produces great harm but our civilization recognizably continues

Singularia: AI is autonomous and acts as "benevolent gods"

Paperclipalypse: AI causes our extinction or similar

AI-Fizzle: AI tech doesn't have a huge impact

Will Scotland leave the UK by 2040?

May 28, 7:56 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

26.12%chance

19749

OptionVotes

YES

1232

893

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

Mar 31, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.8%chance

11360

OptionVotes

YES

10122

9934

SCO News

Top stories

Prediction markets for SCO

Prediction markets for SCO

Prediction markets for SCO

Perfect score achieved by an AI model in the International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2026?

Scott Alexander publishes a "Death with Dignity" style post before 2030

Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander?

If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?

Open-Source AI model gets perfect IMO 2026 score? [International Math Olympiad 2026]

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

Will SCOTUS rule that 14A doesn't grant citizenship to US-born children of undocumented immigrant parents by 2030?

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass?

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass? (Metaculus forecast, 2027-12-31)

Will Scotland leave the UK by 2040?

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

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