SCO News

China’s $1.2 Trillion Trade Surplus and $512.4 Billion SCO Trade Highlight 14th Five-Year Plan Progress

1 year ago

Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit 2025 Held Aug 31-Sept 1 in Tianjin With Leaders From 20+ Countries and 10 Intl Organizations

1 year ago

If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?

Mar 10, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.55%chance

15655066

OptionVotes

YES

17222

903

Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander?

Feb 14, 5:26 PMFeb 14, 5:23 PM

61.8%chance

19845488

OptionVotes

YES

1272

786

Scott Alexander publishes a "Death with Dignity" style post before 2030

Nov 20, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.6%chance

10842720

OptionVotes

YES

11866

8858

Will Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?

Jun 18, 3:15 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

10%chance

10934527

OptionVotes

YES

1006

469

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

19.97%chance

3914937

OptionVotes

YES

18141

6182

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass?

Jan 30, 2:53 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8110310

OptionProbability

Futurama: AI tech produces great advances but our civilization recognizably continues

Singularia: AI is autonomous and acts as "benevolent gods"

AI-Dystopia: AI tech produces great harm but our civilization recognizably continues

AI-Fizzle: AI tech doesn't have a huge impact

Paperclipalypse: AI causes our extinction or similar

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass? (Metaculus forecast, 2027-12-31)

Dec 30, 4:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86464

OptionProbability

Futurama: AI tech produces great advances but our civilization recognizably continues

AI-Dystopia: AI tech produces great harm but our civilization recognizably continues

Singularia: AI is autonomous and acts as "benevolent gods"

Paperclipalypse: AI causes our extinction or similar

AI-Fizzle: AI tech doesn't have a huge impact

Will RAY post reviews of at least five Scott Alexander essays before EOY?

Aug 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.16%chance

65556

OptionVotes

YES

15218

6571

Will Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026?

Sep 20, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.86%chance

193027

OptionVotes

YES

11784

8486

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

Mar 31, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.42%chance

12860

OptionVotes

YES

10622

9739

Will Scotland leave the UK by 2040?

May 28, 7:56 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

26.12%chance

19749

OptionVotes

YES

1232

893

Which one of week 3's NFL games will have the rarest score?

Sep 14, 6:51 AMSep 29, 3:45 AM

OptionProbability

Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers

Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders

New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars

Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers

New York Jets at Detroit Lions

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts

Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills

Tennessee Titans at New York Giants

Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers

Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints

Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys

Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos

Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears

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Prediction markets for SCO

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If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?

Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander?

Scott Alexander publishes a "Death with Dignity" style post before 2030

Will Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass?

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass? (Metaculus forecast, 2027-12-31)

Will RAY post reviews of at least five Scott Alexander essays before EOY?

Will Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026?

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

Will Scotland leave the UK by 2040?

Which one of week 3's NFL games will have the rarest score?

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