SCO News

China’s $1.2 Trillion Trade Surplus and $512.4 Billion SCO Trade Highlight 14th Five-Year Plan Progress

1 year ago

Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit 2025 Held Aug 31-Sept 1 in Tianjin With Leaders From 20+ Countries and 10 Intl Organizations

1 year ago

If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?

Mar 10, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.25%chance

16159047

OptionVotes

YES

11888

2079

Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander?

Feb 14, 5:26 PMFeb 14, 5:23 PM

64.44%chance

19846246

OptionVotes

YES

1346

743

Scott Alexander publishes a "Death with Dignity" style post before 2030

Nov 20, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.6%chance

10842720

OptionVotes

YES

11866

8858

Will Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?

Jun 18, 3:15 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

10.54%chance

11135910

OptionVotes

YES

1009

444

Will Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026?

Sep 20, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.91%chance

3026097

OptionVotes

YES

31979

3127

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

19.96%chance

3914944

OptionVotes

YES

18148

6181

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass?

Jan 30, 2:53 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8110310

OptionProbability

Futurama: AI tech produces great advances but our civilization recognizably continues

Singularia: AI is autonomous and acts as "benevolent gods"

AI-Dystopia: AI tech produces great harm but our civilization recognizably continues

AI-Fizzle: AI tech doesn't have a huge impact

Paperclipalypse: AI causes our extinction or similar

Will RAY post reviews of at least five Scott Alexander essays before EOY?

Aug 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.75%chance

75706

OptionVotes

YES

15368

6507

Is Cheryl Scott from ABC CHICAGO pregnant????!?!??? 🤰

Oct 16, 10:48 PMDec 31, 11:30 PM

56%chance

255534

OptionVotes

YES

7401

2456

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

Mar 31, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.42%chance

12860

OptionVotes

YES

10622

9739

Will Scotland leave the UK by 2040?

May 28, 7:56 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

26.12%chance

19749

OptionVotes

YES

1232

893

What will the top score on Epoch AI's Chess Puzzles benchmark be on November 30, 2026?

Nov 1, 4:26 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Below 78%

78% to below 82%

82% to below 88%

88% or higher

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Prediction markets for SCO

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Prediction markets for SCO

If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?

Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander?

Scott Alexander publishes a "Death with Dignity" style post before 2030

Will Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?

Will Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026?

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass?

Will RAY post reviews of at least five Scott Alexander essays before EOY?

Is Cheryl Scott from ABC CHICAGO pregnant????!?!??? 🤰

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

Will Scotland leave the UK by 2040?

What will the top score on Epoch AI's Chess Puzzles benchmark be on November 30, 2026?

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