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Prediction markets for Scor

ECI 2026: Epoch Capabilities Index Highest Score

Dec 8, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4697209

OptionProbability

Above 160

Above 170

Above 180

Above 225

Above 200

Above 250

100

86

6

3

2

2

What will be the highest Epoch Capabilities Index score in 2026?

Jan 16, 8:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5168430

OptionProbability

170-175

175-180

165-170

180-185

≥185

<155

155-160

160-165

64

14

13

4

2

1

1

1

[ACX 2026] What will be the highest score achieved on ARC-AGI-2 before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:21 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM

3047254

OptionProbability

90 - 100%

80 - 89%

50 - 59%

60 - 69%

70 - 79%

99

1

0

0

0

What will be the best GSOBench score by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 16, 8:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1738218

OptionProbability

70-80%

80-90%

60-70%

≥90%

50-60%

40-50%

<30%

30-40%

36

28

14

10

6

4

1

1

What will be the best Remote Labor Index score by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 16, 8:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3134079

OptionProbability

40-50%

30-40%

50-60%

20-30%

60-70%

10-20%

70-80%

≥80%

<10%

26

24

18

12

6

4

4

3

2

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

Apr 1, 2:29 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

94.25%chance

10032064

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4865

283

What will be the best OpenAI-Proof Q&A score by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 16, 8:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3128952

OptionProbability

<10%

10-20%

20-30%

30-40%

40-50%

50-60%

60-70%

70-80%

80-90%

≥90%

72

8

5

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

Will GPT-5 have a perfect SAT score in either section?

Mar 31, 11:37 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

52.62%chance

13120586

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1221

725

Will at least one >80% subsaharan ancestry country score above Ukraine on PISA for at least one year before 2100 without mass genetic enhancement?

Jan 17, 10:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.88%chance

241370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1779

1135

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

Mar 31, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.42%chance

12860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10622

9739

Are we getting less intelligent? Will our IQ scores get lower from now onwards? Are we headed for idiocracy?

Sep 3, 8:52 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.22%chance

23500

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1097

893

NFL Week 10: Will the Chargers vs. Ravens game have an even or odd total point score?

Aug 18, 6:31 PMNov 17, 1:12 AM

47.82%chance

4102

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1045

957

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