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Prediction markets for Scores

Perfect score achieved by an AI model in the International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2026?

Jul 19, 2:29 PMJul 31, 10:59 PM

82%chance

415213382

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16004

8049

ECI 2026: Epoch Capabilities Index Highest Score

Dec 8, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3659192

OptionProbability

Above 160

Above 170

Above 180

Above 200

Above 225

Above 250

100

70

14

9

9

4

Open-Source AI model gets perfect IMO 2026 score? [International Math Olympiad 2026]

Jul 19, 2:27 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

41%chance

9634945

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12348

7984

What will be the highest Epoch Capabilities Index score in 2026?

Jan 16, 8:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3632789

OptionProbability

170-175

175-180

165-170

180-185

≥185

160-165

155-160

<155

32

30

12

11

7

5

2

1

What will be the best GSOBench score by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 16, 8:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1731786

OptionProbability

70-80%

60-70%

80-90%

50-60%

40-50%

≥90%

<30%

30-40%

25

21

19

15

9

9

1

1

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

Apr 1, 2:29 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81.03%chance

9525701

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2522

563

What will be the best Remote Labor Index score by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 16, 8:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2418649

OptionProbability

20-30%

10-20%

30-40%

40-50%

<10%

50-60%

60-70%

70-80%

≥80%

26

20

16

10

7

7

6

5

4

What will be the best OpenAI-Proof Q&A score by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 16, 8:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2818250

OptionProbability

10-20%

20-30%

30-40%

<10%

40-50%

50-60%

60-70%

70-80%

80-90%

≥90%

30

18

15

11

8

6

4

3

2

2

Will every team score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

May 22, 9:59 AMJul 19, 11:59 PM

43.02%chance

284418

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1286

571

Highest scoring team in fifa World Cup matches on June 26?

Jun 26, 9:56 AMJun 26, 6:59 PM

72732

OptionProbability

Senegal

France

Belgium

Spain

Egypt

Cape verde

Saudi arabia

Norway

Uruguay

Iran

Iraq

New zealand

25

24

15

10

6

5

5

3

3

3

1

1

Will at least one >80% subsaharan ancestry country score above Ukraine on PISA for at least one year before 2100 without mass genetic enhancement?

Jan 17, 10:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.88%chance

241370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1779

1135

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

Mar 31, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.8%chance

11360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10122

9934

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