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Prediction markets for Scottish

Will there be another Scottish Independence referendum by 2026?

Dec 19, 12:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.13%chance

3812877

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11628

475

Will the Scottish Labour Party be the second largest party in Holyrood after the next election?

May 17, 5:42 PMMay 7, 10:59 PM

50%chance

219647

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1181

772

Will there be a Scottish Parliament election by the end of 2025?

Apr 29, 12:39 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

2.38%chance

126552

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7303

375

Will the next Scottish independence referendum pass?

Jan 18, 7:57 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

50%chance

372198

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1123

853

Scottish Parliament: Will there be an Extraordinary General Election called before the next ordinary general election?

Apr 27, 10:13 PMMay 6, 10:59 PM

11.34%chance

6436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

499

74

Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?

Jan 18, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

7.53%chance

6415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

525

49

Will there be a Scottish independence referendum (indyref2) by 2030?

Sep 10, 4:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.51%chance

16348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1148

939

Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2029 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?

Jan 18, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

17.24%chance

8297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

408

81

Will Velcro be banned in all Scottish marmalade factories before 1st January 2026?

Jun 20, 4:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.88%chance

3268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

368

27

Was Scottish separatism significantly funded by the EU?

Feb 28, 11:22 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

12.12%chance

6211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

269

37

Which Scottish Spaceport will see the first successful orbital launch?

Jan 17, 5:17 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

3160

OptionProbability

Saxavord

Sutherland

85

15

How many MSPs will the Scottish Greens get at the next Scottish Parliament election?

Apr 11, 5:43 PMMay 7, 10:59 PM

379

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