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Top stories

Scottish MSP Graham Simpson Jumps to Nigel Farage’s Reform UK

Scottish MSP Graham Simpson Jumps to Nigel Farage’s Reform UK

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Scottish National Party

Next UK General Election: how will the national vote be split?

Oct 31, 2:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

202107

OptionProbability

Labour

Reform

Conservative

Green

Liberal Democrat

Scottish National Party

Other

28

27

20

10

8

4

4

What seat shares will the parties get at the next UK general election?

Jul 20, 10:37 AMAug 17, 10:59 PM

41529

OptionProbability

Labour Party

Conservative Party

Reform UK

Liberal Democrats

Green Party of England and Wales

Scottish National Party

Restore Britain

Your Party

Others and independents

35

23

15

9

4

4

4

3

2

What will be the distribution of seats after the next UK General Election?

May 3, 6:26 AMAug 15, 6:18 AM

20936

OptionProbability

Labour

Conservatives

Reform

Liberal Democrats

Greens

SNP (Scottish National Party)

Other

Plaid Cymru

Sinn Féin

DUP (Democratic Unionist Party)

35

23

22

9

4

2

2

1

1

1

Conservationists purchase Rothbury estate (England's largest land sale in 30 years)?

Oct 29, 11:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

76.07%chance

9785

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1783

561

Will there be a Scottish independence referendum (indyref2) by 2030?

Sep 10, 4:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.12%chance

17698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1498

859

What vote shares will the parties get at the next UK general election?

Jul 20, 10:49 AMJan 24, 11:59 PM

4246

OptionProbability

Labour Party

Conservative Party

Reform UK

Green Party of England and Wales

Liberal Democrats

Restore Britain

Others and independents

Scottish National Party

Your Party

Other

25

20

19

12

8

4

4

3

3

3

How many seats will centre to centre-left parties have in the UK House of Commons on January 1st 2030?

Sep 23, 6:05 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

3166

OptionProbability

300 - 349

250 - 299

200 - 249

350 - 399

0 - 200

400 - 449

450 - 500

500 - 650

24

18

16

11

10

9

6

6

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