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Top stories

Scottish MSP Graham Simpson Jumps to Nigel Farage’s Reform UK

Scottish MSP Graham Simpson Jumps to Nigel Farage’s Reform UK

Authors

5

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Scottish Parliament

Who will be First Minister of Scotland on July 1st 2026?

May 4, 12:40 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

166427

OptionProbability

John Swinney

Other

Anas Sarwar

Kate Forbes

Douglas Ross

Alex Cole-Hamilton

Angus Robertson

Malcolm Offord

96

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

If Labour wins the next UK election will there be a Scottish independence referendum announced during that parliament?

Sep 19, 1:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

4137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

203

51

If Reform wins the next UK election will there be a Scottish independence referendum announced during that parliament?

Sep 19, 1:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

3127

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

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