Scottish Parliament News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Scottish Parliament
OptionProbability
78
15
5
1
1
0
0
In the next Scottish Parliamentary Election, due in 2026, what %age of the seats will each party win?
Aug 28, 7:40 AMMay 31, 10:59 PM
133114
OptionProbability
33
18
17
16
7
6
2
1
Scottish Parliament: Will there be an Extraordinary General Election called before the next ordinary general election?
Apr 27, 10:13 PMMay 6, 10:59 PM
3.07%chance
71046
OptionVotes
1093
40
Will independence supporting parties maintain a majority in the next Scottish Parliament Election?
Aug 18, 8:15 AMJun 1, 10:59 PM
24.41%chance
12481
OptionVotes
233
73
If Labour wins the next UK election will there be a Scottish independence referendum announced during that parliament?
Sep 19, 1:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.95%chance
3130
OptionVotes
233
44
If Reform wins the next UK election will there be a Scottish independence referendum announced during that parliament?
Sep 19, 1:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20%chance
3127
OptionVotes
200
50
How many MSPs will the Scottish Greens get at the next Scottish Parliament election?
Apr 11, 5:43 PMMay 7, 10:59 PM
379
OptionProbability
13
13
13
10
10
10
10
2
2
2
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will there be an extraordinary Scottish Parliament election due to failure to elect a First Minister?
Jan 15, 12:24 PMMay 6, 11:59 PM
14.28%chance
150
OptionVotes
1050
991