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Prediction markets for SCOTUS

If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?

Mar 10, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

58.65%chance

12234550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8015

5050

Will SCOTUS rule that 14A doesn't grant citizenship to US-born children of undocumented immigrant parents by 2030?

Jan 28, 11:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.25%chance

2716588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17839

6551

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

20%chance

3814920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18124

6187

Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?

Nov 6, 10:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

405534

OptionProbability

Samuel Alito

Clarence Thomas

Sonia Sotomayor

John Roberts

Amy Coney Barrett

Ketanji Brown Jackson

Elena Kagan

Neil Gorsuch

Brett Kavanaugh

A Justice not yet seated

65

23

4

2

2

2

1

1

0

0

Will SCOTUS rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Cook?

Jan 19, 12:45 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

24.8%chance

151967

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1741

574

Will SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?

Apr 30, 12:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.2%chance

271752

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1411

781

Will SCOTUS judges have term limits by 2028-03-23?

Mar 24, 2:22 AMMar 23, 9:17 PM

5.49%chance

141420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2283

854

Will SCOTUS hear a Third Amendment case by EOY 2030?

Jan 1, 9:41 AMDec 9, 5:59 AM

8.42%chance

131163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1599

901

Will the first openly LGBTQIA+ SCOTUS Justice be appointed before 2040?

Jul 3, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.13%chance

181101

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1191

714

Will SCOTUS vote to overturn Mississippi's mail-in voting law?

Mar 24, 5:34 PMDec 31, 6:33 PM

63.01%chance

10643

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1305

766

Will the Trump administration defy any SCOTUS ruling before the end of 2028?

Mar 30, 1:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.43%chance

24504

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

93

Will the SCOTUS overturn Allison Burrough's ruling regarding Harvard's enrollment of foreign students?

May 23, 6:12 PMDec 31, 7:10 PM

15.46%chance

14489

OptionVotes

YES

NO

234

43

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