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Prediction markets for SCOTUS

If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?

Mar 10, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.44%chance

11933296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7134

6564

Will SCOTUS rule that 14A doesn't grant citizenship to US-born children of undocumented immigrant parents by 2030?

Jan 28, 11:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.9%chance

2116066

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17426

6658

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

20%chance

3814920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18124

6187

Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?

Nov 6, 10:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

384700

OptionProbability

Clarence Thomas

Samuel Alito

Sonia Sotomayor

John Roberts

Neil Gorsuch

Brett Kavanaugh

Elena Kagan

Amy Coney Barrett

Ketanji Brown Jackson

A Justice not yet seated

40

36

12

5

2

2

1

1

1

0

Will SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?

Apr 30, 12:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75.63%chance

251697

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1568

726

Will SCOTUS judges have term limits by 2028-03-23?

Mar 24, 2:22 AMMar 23, 9:17 PM

5.49%chance

141420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2283

854

Will SCOTUS hear a Third Amendment case by EOY 2030?

Jan 1, 9:41 AMDec 9, 5:59 AM

8.42%chance

131163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1599

901

Will the first openly LGBTQIA+ SCOTUS Justice be appointed before 2040?

Jul 3, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.13%chance

181101

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1191

714

Will the Trump administration go after a SCOTUS justice in 2025?

May 1, 6:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9.93%chance

9918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1328

429

Will the number of justices on the SCOTUS be increased by the end of 2028?

Mar 2, 5:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.97%chance

17514

OptionVotes

YES

NO

426

151

Will Marshals of SCOTUS deputize over 99 National Guard members during the legal presidential term of Trump?

Apr 15, 8:56 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

15.12%chance

9267

OptionVotes

YES

NO

237

42

Will SCOTUS allow video cameras in the court by 11/7/2028?

Dec 27, 7:44 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM

6.17%chance

3145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

13

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