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Prediction markets for SCOTUS

If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?

Mar 10, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.44%chance

11933296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7134

6564

Will SCOTUS rule that 14A doesn't grant citizenship to US-born children of undocumented immigrant parents by 2030?

Jan 28, 11:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.9%chance

2116066

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17426

6658

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

20%chance

3814920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18124

6187

Will the SCOTUS make a controversial, decisive decision in the 2028 presidential election?

Jul 30, 12:12 PMJan 7, 10:59 PM

131776

OptionProbability

No

Yes, in favor of Republicans

Yes, in favor of Democrats

69

25

6

Will SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?

Apr 30, 12:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.51%chance

261747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1425

776

Will SCOTUS judges have term limits by 2028-03-23?

Mar 24, 2:22 AMMar 23, 9:17 PM

5.49%chance

141420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2283

854

Will SCOTUS rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Cook?

Jan 19, 12:45 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

36.26%chance

131408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1326

754

Will SCOTUS hear a Third Amendment case by EOY 2030?

Jan 1, 9:41 AMDec 9, 5:59 AM

8.42%chance

131163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1599

901

Will the first openly LGBTQIA+ SCOTUS Justice be appointed before 2040?

Jul 3, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.13%chance

181101

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1191

714

Will the SCOTUS expect the US government to refund the tariffs?

Nov 8, 9:39 PMJun 1, 8:28 PM

18533

OptionProbability

No, because SCOTUS rules them to be constitutional

No, even though SCOTUS ruled them to be unconstitutional

Partially

Yes, entirely or as much as possible

35

28

22

15

Will the number of justices on the SCOTUS be increased by the end of 2028?

Mar 2, 5:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.97%chance

17514

OptionVotes

YES

NO

426

151

By 2050, will SCOTUS declare the current civil asset forfeiture system unconstitutional?

Jun 19, 6:44 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

82.3%chance

6284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

148

86

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