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Prediction markets for SCOTUS

If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?

Mar 10, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.79%chance

12334740

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8205

4790

Will SCOTUS rule that 14A doesn't grant citizenship to US-born children of undocumented immigrant parents by 2030?

Jan 28, 11:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.58%chance

2917081

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17632

6604

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

20%chance

3814920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18124

6187

Will SCOTUS rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Cook?

Jan 19, 12:45 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

17.32%chance

183469

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2185

458

Will SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?

Apr 30, 12:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.2%chance

271752

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1411

781

Will SCOTUS judges have term limits by 2028-03-23?

Mar 24, 2:22 AMMar 23, 9:17 PM

5.49%chance

141420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2283

854

Will SCOTUS hear a Third Amendment case by EOY 2030?

Jan 1, 9:41 AMDec 9, 5:59 AM

8.42%chance

131163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1599

901

Will the first openly LGBTQIA+ SCOTUS Justice be appointed before 2040?

Jul 3, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.13%chance

181101

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1191

714

Will SCOTUS vote to overturn Mississippi's mail-in voting law?

Mar 24, 5:34 PMDec 31, 6:33 PM

63.01%chance

10643

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1305

766

By 2050, will SCOTUS declare the current civil asset forfeiture system unconstitutional?

Jun 19, 6:44 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

82.3%chance

6284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

148

86

Will Marshals of SCOTUS deputize over 99 National Guard members during the legal presidential term of Trump?

Apr 15, 8:56 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

15.12%chance

9267

OptionVotes

YES

NO

287

92

How will SCOTUS rule in Trump v Cook?

Jan 22, 5:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6198

OptionProbability

7-2

8-1

9-0

6-3

5-4

Other

32

26

16

10

9

8

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