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Prediction markets for SEA

(M5000 subsidy) Will the Arctic sea ice fully melt before the year 2050?

Sep 11, 9:11 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

42.2%chance

7321608

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7855

4095

Will a major battle be fought in the Caspian Sea before 2040?

Apr 24, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.35%chance

833042

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1712

1300

Will oil be drilled for in the field of the Antarctic Weddell Sea region before 2030?

Jul 13, 5:43 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

18.94%chance

12150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2069

483

Will the Antarctic sea ice extent reach at least 25 million square kilometers at least once this century?

Apr 7, 9:12 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14.16%chance

301266

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1328

1049

By 2050, will humans pump significant quantities of ocean water onto Antarctica to reduce sea levels?

Mar 24, 1:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.48%chance

181134

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1849

831

Will a crossing of the Irish Sea, between Great Britain and Ireland, have started construction by 2035?

Jul 4, 8:49 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

7.42%chance

141075

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1564

883

Is imu the sea devil?

Aug 19, 5:22 PMJun 30, 5:20 PM

72.74%chance

18842

OptionVotes

NO

YES

310

280

Will a research base be established in the deep sea before Mars?

Feb 17, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

70.79%chance

16767

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1199

898

Will a permanent research base be established in the deep sea before Mars?

Feb 17, 11:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.63%chance

14269

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

962

Will global mean sea level rise by more than 0.13 meters by 2030?

Dec 17, 10:13 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

66.6%chance

9190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

192

161

When will the Antarctic sea ice extent fall below 1 million square kilometers for the first time?

Jul 30, 12:14 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

4167

OptionProbability

2024

2025

2026

2027

2029

2028

2030 or later

45

17

11

11

6

5

5

Will any military vessel of more than 15,000 tonnes be lost at sea before 2036?

May 23, 9:27 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

53%chance

635

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

127

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