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Prediction markets for Sea Group

Will Iran strike US soil this year?

Mar 11, 8:32 PMMar 12, 11:59 PM

18.93%chance

9011820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2069

483

Will the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) sustain battle damage caused directly by Iranian military forces before 31 march

Feb 28, 8:03 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

5.24%chance

545131

OptionVotes

YES

NO

425

24

Which landmarks or major infrastructure will suffer a military or terrorist attack before the end of 2030? [ADD ANSWERS]

Apr 10, 10:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

373655

OptionProbability

Kerch Bridge (Crimea)

Yamal-Europe Pipeline

Belo Monte Dam (Brazil)

Guri Dam (Venezuela)

Itaipu Dam (Brazil and Paraguay)

Panama Canal (Panama)

Vatican City

Suez Canal (Egypt)

Xiluodu Dam (China)

Baihetan Dam (China)

Three Gorges Dam (China)

The Great Sphinx of Giza (Egypt)

Golden Gate Bridge (United States)

Statue of Liberty (US)

The Empire State Building (US)

The Louvre (Paris, France)

Channel Tunnel (UK and France)

Hoover Dam (US)

Port of Houston (US)

World Trade Center (New York, US)

Eiffel Tower (Paris, France)

The Holland Tunnel (The tunnel under the Hudson River) (NYC to NJ, US)

99

35

26

25

24

22

21

20

19

17

17

16

12

12

12

12

11

10

10

10

10

9

Who would win if Ethiopia went to war against Eritrea and its ally,The Tigray Defense Force (TDF) ?

Feb 20, 1:36 PMDec 31, 1:34 PM

92664

OptionProbability

Eritrean Defense Forces and Tigray Defense Force will win the Fight.

Ethiopian Defense Force will win the Fight

It will be stalemate

71

16

13

How many UN members will recognize Somaliland at the end of 2026?

Dec 30, 1:08 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7357

OptionProbability

4 +

3

0–1

2

35

26

21

19

Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?

Jan 21, 6:19 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

11%chance

2257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

284

35

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