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Prediction markets for Sea Limited

Will Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?

Feb 4, 5:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.59%chance

488227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1239

943

When will Opensea's cryptocurrency will be tradable?

Mar 6, 12:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55571

OptionProbability

Q4 2025 (October to end of December)

Opensea's token not tradable in 2025

Q3 2025 (July to end of September)

Q1 2025 (January to end of March)

Q2 2025 (April to end of June)

64

28

5

1

1

Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]

Jul 26, 1:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.96%chance

275407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4502

453

Pacific Coast Highway: can it be driven from SF to LA on these days? (CA Route 1 closures/washouts/fires), til 2030

Jan 9, 9:03 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

82738

OptionProbability

July 1 2028

July 1 2029

Jan 1 2027

July 1 2027

Jan 1 2028

Jan 1 2029

August 1 2025

July 1 2026

May 1 2026

March 1 2026

Jan 1 2026

Dec 1 2025

Sep 1 2025

July 1 2025

March 1 2025

June 1 2025

55

55

50

50

50

50

50

48

45

37

21

19

18

0

0

0

When will Russia attack Europe with military force?

Nov 18, 7:18 AMMar 19, 10:59 PM

412191

OptionProbability

Never

Before end of 2029

In 2034 or later

Before end of 2033

70

22

6

2

Will an astronaut's life be lost during any stage of spaceflight before 2030?

Jan 31, 4:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.55%chance

261714

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1112

926

Will North Korea attack South Korea's outlying islands, causing fatalities, before 2030?

Feb 5, 5:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.43%chance

13707

OptionVotes

YES

NO

341

110

If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be American strikes on Chinese soil?

Dec 17, 1:09 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

82.9%chance

6195

OptionVotes

NO

YES

217

64

Will practical liquid breathing be demonstrated before 2040?

May 14, 7:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

73.29%chance

473

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

38

Will we get a PGS score of micronanoplastic toxicity (or resistance) by EOY2028?

Oct 16, 2:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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