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Prediction markets for Search

Will the Spaceballs sequel be called "Spaceballs 2: The Search for More Money"?

Jun 19, 2:34 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

228459

OptionProbability

Yes

No

Sequel not released before 2035

73

21

6

A publicly-traded Google competitor's search-derived revenue exceeds Google's search-derived revenue for four consecutive quarters before 2028.

Oct 1, 2:25 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

18.94%chance

505679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

852

Will it be possible to search for text across ALL YouTube videos by 2026?

Mar 9, 3:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.3%chance

155033

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1123

890

Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2030?

Mar 17, 11:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

89.1%chance

343857

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2289

707

Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?

Oct 19, 1:07 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

35.49%chance

483349

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1417

1169

Will keyboards be used to make most Google searches in 2027?

Feb 3, 12:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

90%chance

421541

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1515

899

Bing's market share of search passes google's by 2030

Dec 26, 8:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.06%chance

341015

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

980

Will the Elbaf arc have a higher peak worldwide Google Trends search interest than any previous One Piece arc?

Nov 1, 5:49 PMJan 1, 1:00 PM

58.05%chance

5821

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1176

850

Google Trends: Will "bitcoin" search hit all-time high before 2030?

Feb 5, 9:24 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38.35%chance

7819

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

789

Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2040?

Mar 17, 11:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.87%chance

23810

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1228

802

Will an AI chatbot overtake Google as the most used search engine by 2030?

Aug 3, 6:57 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

40.89%chance

8472

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1202

832

Will humanity achieve AGI before good desktop search?

Nov 19, 8:35 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

58.48%chance

4253

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1187

843

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