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Prediction markets for Search

Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?

Jan 22, 4:21 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2.65%chance

3469316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

57509

6569

Will the Spaceballs sequel be called "Spaceballs 2: The Search for More Money"?

Jun 19, 2:34 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

218454

OptionProbability

Yes

No

Sequel not released before 2035

73

21

6

A publicly-traded Google competitor's search-derived revenue exceeds Google's search-derived revenue for four consecutive quarters before 2028.

Oct 1, 2:25 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

18.94%chance

505679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

852

Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?

Oct 19, 1:07 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

36.86%chance

473297

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1443

1123

Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2030?

Mar 17, 11:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.99%chance

301912

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1076

792

Bing's market share of search passes google's by 2030

Dec 26, 8:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.06%chance

341015

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

980

Will I have found a website which I consider a compelling Google search alternative by 2025

Nov 18, 7:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71.36%chance

22967

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1037

845

Google Trends: Will "bitcoin" search hit all-time high before 2030?

Feb 5, 9:24 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38.35%chance

7819

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

789

Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2040?

Mar 17, 11:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.87%chance

23810

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1228

802

Will the Elbaf arc have a higher peak worldwide Google Trends search interest than any previous One Piece arc?

Nov 1, 5:49 PMJan 1, 1:00 PM

48.98%chance

4550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1021

980

Will an AI chatbot overtake Google as the most used search engine by 2030?

Aug 3, 6:57 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

42.45%chance

8445

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1164

859

Will humanity achieve AGI before good desktop search?

Nov 19, 8:35 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

58.48%chance

4253

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1187

843

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